Good Wednesday to one and all. Today is a very nice weather day and it’s likely to be the best day we see for a while. Think of this as a one day break from the winter weather potential because another clipper works our way tomorrow. I’m still watching the potential for a bigger system to impact our weather by Super Bowl Sunday.

The clipper zips in here Thursday with very gusty winds. Those gusts may reach 35mph at times as the cold front swings through. Temps will spike toward 40 ahead of that front and will crash behind it. Rain showers will develop early in the morning and I can’t rule out a touch of frozen stuff at the start.

Snow showers and flurries will then kick in behind the front by late Thursday and carry us into early Friday. Those may put down some light accumulations and the NAM is showing this…

NAM

The Hi-Res NAM is also picking up on some light stuff…

NAM 2That could be enough to cause some slick travel conditions by Friday morning. The rest of your Friday is a cold one with some flakes flying around. Highs will struggle to get out of the 20s, but gusty winds will make it feel a whole lot colder.

That brings us to Super Bowl weekend and the potential for a much bigger winter weather system. Several of the overnight model runs decided to jump toward a stronger low that tracks right on top of the bluegrass state. That would push the best snows north of the bluegrass state IF the models are correct. Given how much variance and jumping around we’ve seen from each of them lately… it’s a BIG if.

The GFS shows snow to rain to snow…

GFS

The Canadian shows a similar look…

Canadian

The new European Model is coming in with a less amplified solution and more of a eastward tracking low across the region.

As I have said with each and every solution the models have been spitting out in recent days (and there have been many), don’t get too caught up in any one set of runs. Get us within 48 hours of the event and we will see where things stand.

For those hoping for an early spring… that’s probably not in the cards again this year. February has a lot of storm threats to go along with cold shots. I’m not sure how I feel about that. Yes, I like my winter, but you guys know how I get once February rolls around. I’m pretty much ready to roll into spring by that point. 🙂

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.