Good afternoon, folks. The temperatures out there today are a little colder than I originally thought they would be. Of course, that happens when you start the day off with some single digits. While that’s nice and all, the focus of the forecast is on a clipper for Thursday and the potential for a bigger system this weekend.

The clipper zips in here quickly on Thursday with very gusty winds and falling temperatures. Winds may reach 35mph at times. Gusty showers will be ahead of it with some snow showers and flurries flying behind our front. The best chance comes Thursday night into Friday morning and we could see some light accumulations…

GFS Snow

Minor accumulations will be possible to start the day on Friday. Winds will continue to be gusty and that will make the temps in the 20s feel like the teens.

Our weekend system continues to show up as clear as mud. The GFS runs 4 times a day and it has yet to show the same solution twice with the weekend storm. Last night it had a strong storm cutting into the Great Lakes. It’s latest run shows no such thing…

GFS

Taken at face value, that’s a 1″-4″ snow on that model. That’s something I wouldn’t be doing with any run of the GFS or any of the models at this point. Still… someone on Sunday will spout out these nonsensical words ” The GFS nailed this system several days ago”.Β  When a model spits out 50 different solutions, it’s bound to get one of them right. πŸ™‚

It’s not as If the other models are performing any better, but they don’t get the false praise the GFS gets in this country.

Speaking of the other models, the GFS Ensembles are not impressed with a big storm and show a wave of low pressure sliding across the Tennessee Valley…

GFS 3

That’s a far cry from the Canadian Model…

Canadian

Get us to the 48 hour mark before this system forms and then we can talk in greater detail about what impact it will have on our weather.

One way or the other, Super Bowl Sunday is likely to be very messy across our part of the world.

I will update things later this evening. Take care.