Good Sunday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are rumbling across the bluegrass state… Again. Some of the storms could be on the strong side with more heavy rain across the board. All of this is on the cusp of some frosty air coming in for next week. More on that in a bit.
Let’s start with the soggy setup we have out there today.
Radar will look pretty wicked at times as showers and storms rotate around an area of low pressure lifting northward across the western Ohio Valley. Waves of storms come at us from the south and southwest this morning into the afternoon. A few could be on the strong side, but all will contain heavy rain.
The heavy amounts of rain could lead to some local high water issues.
If we break out into some sunshine this afternoon, our severe weather threat will increase. High winds and hail would be the primary threats from the storms that go up.
Additional rounds of showers and storms will then move through on Monday as a strong cold front sweeps eastward. Rainfall totals through Monday should average 1″-2″ for many areas. Higher amounts will be possible for those getting in on stronger storms.
Chilly air then pushes in from Tuesday through the rest of the week. Impulses rotating around the base of the trough may produce some small hail producing showers and storms by Wednesday or Thursday. Any night that has clear skies could turn frosty. As a matter of fact, many models are suggesting sub-freezing temps as a possibility…
In the short term, it’s all about heavy rain and storms. I have you all set to do some tracking…
Today’s risk area
Current watches
I will have updates as needed. Have a great day and take care.
I do not like the descriptions for the severe weather areas. “Marginal” leaves a very large grey area… why not use percentages like we do for everything else?
Besides the Catigorical outlook you looked at, the SPC also uses percentages via the Probabilistic outlook.
Go back up to CB’s “Today’s risk area” and click the map. You can then get risk percentages for hail, t-storm winds and tornadoes.
The two distinct worlds, what is actually happening and what Accuweather Radar tells you is happening.
Not worried about any cool snaps coming up. There’s nothing new under the sun.
Dogwood winter! I really doubt we will see the upper 20s as there will be enough moisture from rotating upper trough to prevent that kind of dry air with dew points below the upper 20s–could be wrong though!
Welcome to the 10″ club Louisville NWS. I’m sure you’re as drowned, uh, thrilled as the rest of us already in the club.
No warnings on any station?
Here is a link to my time lapse video of the line of storms as it came into Estill Co. from the west
http://youtu.be/ql3eCb3WZxg