Good Sunday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are rumbling across the bluegrass state… Again. Some of the storms could be on the strong side with more heavy rain across the board. All of this is on the cusp of some frosty air coming in for next week. More on that in a bit.

Let’s start with the soggy setup we have out there today.

Radar will look pretty wicked at times as showers and storms rotate around an area of low pressure lifting northward across the western Ohio Valley. Waves of storms come at us from the south and southwest this morning into the afternoon. A few could be on the strong side, but all will contain heavy rain.

The heavy amounts of rain could lead to some local high water issues.

If we break out into some sunshine this afternoon, our severe weather threat will increase. High winds and hail would be the primary threats from the storms that go up.

Additional rounds of showers and storms will then move through on Monday as a strong cold front sweeps eastward. Rainfall totals through Monday should average 1″-2″ for many areas. Higher amounts will be possible for those getting in on stronger storms.

Chilly air then pushes in from Tuesday through the rest of the week. Impulses rotating around the base of the trough may produce some small hail producing showers and storms by Wednesday or Thursday. Any night that has clear skies could turn frosty. As a matter of fact, many models are suggesting sub-freezing temps as a possibility…

GFS Temps

In the short term, it’s all about heavy rain and storms. I have you all set to do some tracking…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

I will have updates as needed. Have a great day and take care.