Good Monday to one and all. We’ve had quite the run of colder than normal temperatures for the past week and change. This looks to continue through the rest of the week before the pattern flips to warm over Kentucky Derby weekend. That’s a warm pattern that may dominate much of May.

We continue to flirt with the potential for frost this morning and again Tuesday morning. Lows will drop into the low and middle 30s for the coldest valleys.

Afternoon temps on this Monday will only recover into the upper 50s and low 60s for many. Similar temps will be noted for Tuesday as some clouds roll into town. Those clouds are ahead of a southern, slow-moving storm that works up the east coast. That should come close enough to throw some rain our way Wednesday into Thursday…

GFS

That keeps temps on the very cool side of things and may even allow for one more morning in the upper 30s on Friday.

That should then set us up with a breezy and sunny Kentucky Oaks Day. The European Model idea of a slower warm up is likely the correct way to go. The GFS has now come way down with high temps for Oaks…

GFS Temps

Kentucky Derby Day finds the warmer air really beginning to surge in…

GFS Temps 2

That is likely to begin a very warm first week of May across much of the country…

GFS Temps 3

Yes, Please!

Enjoy your Monday and take care.