Good Tuesday, everyone. Here’s hoping this finds you enjoying life to the fullest. We’ve had a lot of ugly weather over the past few months and a little more ugly is showing up later this week. That said… this pattern is ready to flip on a dime to a very warm one as we head into May.

Let’s start with today and roll forward. Patchy frost and 30s will start things out with partly sunny skies and temps in the 60s finish things off. A few clouds will roll in late today and those clouds will produce the threat of a few showers on Wednesday. That’s coming from a big storm system across the deep south…

Euro

The best chance of Wednesday showers will be across the south and east. Areas with showers and clouds will stay under 60. For those with a hint of some sun, 60s will be common.

That system then slowly works up the east coast on Thursday. As that happens, a strong upper level disturbance dives in behind it across the Ohio Valley. This winter looking storm will then spawn chilly rains around here…

Euro 2

Middle 50s for highs on Thursday will be possible for some areas. Ouch!

Much better weather rolls in for Kentucky Oaks Day with some sunshine and temps in the mid and high 60s. Derby day looks AWESOME with highs in the 70s and a mostly sunny sky.

We may hit 80 degrees or better starting Sunday into early next week. Temps may head deep into the 80s later in the week. Unfortunately, the pattern I see setting up is likely to be a very stormy one. Frequent rounds of boomers look to be common for the first half of May. That should up the ante on severe weather around here.

The latest GFS 2 week rainfall forecast is loaded with juice for much of the country…

GFS RainEnjoy your day and take care.