Tracking The Weekend Flood Threat

Good Friday, folks. We have a potentially significant rain event setting up across our region. Rounds of heavy rains have drenched much of the bluegrass state in recent days and a lot more is on the way. What’s left of Tropical Storm Bill will be rolling through here over the next couple of days.

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect:

– Tropical rain producing showers and storms will develop out there today. Just like yesterday, these storms can put down a tremendous amount of rain leading to local flash flood issues.

– A few storms could be strong with isolated severe weather possible.

– The remnants of Bill will work into western Kentucky this evening and then roll through the rest of the state on Saturday. The NAM shows the core of this tracking right on top of us…

– Spiraling bands of rain and storms will likely show up around the center of this system. The atmosphere looks tropical from top to bottom and that means heavy rains

– A general 1″-4″ rain looks likely across much of the state through Saturday night. Totals can be higher under directly under the core of that system.

– If there is some sunshine ahead of this system on Saturday… a brief tornado can’t be ruled out.

– Once this system moves to our east, we really will have to watch for clusters of strong and severe storms moving in from the northwest. That looks to be the case from late Sunday into early next week. Those same systems could bring additional high water concerns.

– The next week to two weeks of weather could bring some major rainfall numbers to our part of the world.

As always, I have the blog all set for your rain and storm tracking needs…

Today’s risk area

Current watches

Possible watch areas

Have a great day and take care.