Good Saturday, everyone. What’s left of Tropical Storm Bill is working across Kentucky and bringing quite a bit of rain with it. This rain, combined with recent heavy rains, will lead to an increased flash flood threat today into this evening.

The swirling bands of showers and storms will continue to be impressive on radar. These bands of storms can also spawn a quick tornado spin up, but the chance is fairly low.

A general 1″-4″ of rain (from Friday through Today) is likely across the state, but higher amounts will be possible under the core of the system. That would be more than enough to cause some high water conditions to develop. Of course, this does not mean everyone will see flooding!

You will also notice gusty winds out there today as this tropical depression passes over us.

I have a full discussion on where we go from here, but I want to put all the tropical trackers on here first…

 

 

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

What’s left of Bill will scoot out of here this evening. This sets the stage for a very hot and humid Sunday with clusters of thunderstorms working in from the northwest. Severe weather is a possibility into Sunday night and Monday.

These storm clusters can continue to cause issues through the end of the week…

GFS

A strong cold front looks to sweep in here by Friday and Saturday with some potent thunderstorms. That also should be the beginning of a MUCH cooler period. Check out the big dip in the jet stream showing up next weekend…

GFS 2That setup looks to continue into the final days of June and into early July…

Euro 3

The European Ensembles first 5 days of July show much cooler than normal temps for much of the country…

Euro 2I will have updates on today’s flooding potential as needed. Have a great day and take care.