Good Thursday, everyone. Our very active period of weather continues to throw the potential for severe storms our way. That risk looks to possible ramp up later today as storms dive in from the northwest. Additional rounds of strong or severe storms may follow that to start the weekend.
The setup for today is one that can produce a damaging wind event across the Ohio Valley and into the bluegrass state. Here’s a rundown of how things may progress:
– A dying band of thunderstorms may work into the northern areas of the state early this morning.
– This system may leave enough clouds around central and eastern Kentucky to keep some areas from seeing the heat really kick in. Might want to take the under on some high temp forecasts in these areas.
– A line of storms will then develop north of the Ohio River during the afternoon and race in here from the north and northwest. The prime time for this line looks to be between 5pm and midnight.
– Damaging winds will be the primary player as far as threats go. Large hail and isolated tornadoes will also be possible. How widespread this gets may depend a lot on what happens with this morning’s storms.
– The late day storms should also be prolific lightning and rain producers. That rain can cause some local flash flooding.
Things continue to look active into Friday and Saturday as low pressure works into the region from the west and southwest. I’m becoming more concerned about the severe weather threat ahead of this system by late Friday into early Saturday. That setup could also be a flash flood producer as a lot of rain looks to fall across our region.
Temps behind this departing low may drop into the 60s by Saturday afternoon. Sunday looks pleasantly cool with temps in the 70s for highs and just a small shower chance.
Showers and storms will then kick back in early next week as several systems dive in from the northwest. That setup keeps temps normal or below normal. This same setup may actually carry us through the 4th of July weekend.
Moral of the story… this is a stormy pattern with a lot more rain on the way!
Today is a WKYT First Alert Severe Weather Day so be sure to tune in for continuing severe weather coverage as needed.
I leave you with your severe weather trackers…
Today’s risk area
Current watches
Have a great day and take care.
Chris. I noticed you mentioned that it depends on the clouds from the dying storms. That’s the truth, because I notice storms to the northwest of us leave clouds for us the following day, causing the atmosphere not to heat as much – thus, less instability for storms to develop……..I guess we will see, but that looks like a lot of clouds that will be over our area tomorrow (Thursday) from the storms in Iowa, Illinois – But I guess it can still happen regardless of clouds this time of year when it’s so hot/humid..
Israel – have fun in FL! Hope you don’t miss any exciting weather here while you’re gone.
I checked the Mesonet yesterday every few hours and it clearly indicated that the drier air stopped at the KY River as far as Madison goes. Dewpoints and humidity were virtually the same as the day before. The numbers matched the ‘feel’ as well.Winners write history and Fayette definitely won yesterday, so it must be true for all lol.
However, after reading about the heat extremes going on in Pakistan right now, I’ll still take our summer so far over anything like that. If today turns out to be the hottest day of the summer (wagers anyone?) that’s a win for everyone around here.
Looking at the posted radar, it looks like things are starting early and Indy is about to get hit about 5:45 AM and the radar shows intermittent E-SE movement from that first glob which shouldn’t take all that long to reach KY. Here’s hoping for safety for everyone and boredom for Hamilin because that means everyone in that area is having a better day than they could have been. 😉
Israel, see if you can get an autograph from “Florida Man”.
At my home in north Richmond, I noticed a markedly lower level of humidity when I sat out on my back porch.
That’s just flat out false. Dew point temps dropped into the upper 50s and low 60s on the Madison County mesonet. 24 hours earlier, those dew points were in the mid and upper 70s. This dry air made it all the way into northern Tennessee.
The feel was better but the front did nothing for temps down this way yesterday
Lower Humidity was noticed in Estill Co. As Well
Looks like some fairly impressive storms about to move into northern Ky.
That was correct. There was a fair amount of lightning with the storms as they arrived and it is still raining – probably about a half inch so far.
It felt a whole lot nicer outside yesterday for sure here in Lexington. I was able to get a lot accomplished outside yesterday. Thanks CB for the update.
We finished our yard and had a cookout. It was wonderful. I cannot be outside if the dewpoint is high.
short range models highlighting only scattered coverage of storms this afternoon. Toward midnight, additional storms are expected to move into the region from southern Indiana, points east of Louisville perhaps a little later. Heavy rain potential along with high winds still possible overnight.
Bowling Green heat index at 102; Louisville at 95 HI
Dang, I hate how Harlan seems to “usually” miss all the exciting weather:( It is as if a giant bubble protects this area. We have had nothing much exciting to talk about for rainfall totals or T-storms since early spring…sucks:( Maybe, the pattern will change and the bulk of the storms begin to crank a little further south throughout the rest of the summer!
Everybody on this blog says the same thing about their own area. LOL
Everybody on this blog says the same thing about their own area. LOL
When one loves weather, he or she wants to see the action!
At least I finally got to see some impressive snow storms this winter:)
I know I’m late and Chris will have another post in a few hours but I have to say, we had lower humidity here yesterday and tho temps were upper 80s, it was pleasant outside. Today now, even with cloud cover, was brutally humid outside. Hopefully the storms to the NW will weaken as they move toward us. Headed your way tomorrow Chris for that long awaited consult at UK. Thanks for all the updates via Twitter and on the blog. Everyone stay safe. And I hope you’ve all had great days!
Well the storms are lined up and taking aim right at Central Kentucky, starting with Louisville. I guess the question is will they hold together?
They will go south of me so I’ll wait and see what Friday night/Saturday morning may bring.
The storms have been rolling across here for a good while now.Almost constant thunder and just incredible lightening.Heavy rain at times.
Southern Jefferson County in Louisville flooding is occuring. Training of storms in the southern part of Jefferson County reports coming in of water rescues. Lightning is gotta be the worst I can remember.
Nelson County should absolutely be under a T-Storm Warning right now. The wind is blowing incredibly hard right now.