Good Friday, everyone. We’ve made it to the big 4th of July holiday weekend, but we just can’t shake the showers and thunderstorms. The threat continues across the bluegrass state today and additional high water problems are a real concern… Again.

Another system will cross the region today and ignite more rounds of boomers. A few could be on the strong side, but all of the action will produce some torrential downpours. A Flash Flood Watch continues for many across the region. Your tracking toys in a bit.

Let’s talk a little bit about the weather for the 4th of July. This does not look like a washout. Yes, we will have rounds of storms, but we should also have some dry times. The greatest concentration looks to be across the southern half of the area. That shows up in the forecast high temps…

Euro 2

Told ya “Hot as the 4th of July” wouldn’t be appropriate to use this year! 😉

Temps will rebound into the 80s area wide from Sunday into the first half of next week. This is normal to below normal for this time of year. The cool shot that had been showing up for the second half of next isn’t looking as cool as before. That’s bad news. Why? It likely means a continuation of the stormy setup…

Euro

The CFS rainfall forecasts I posted back in May caught a lot of flack from some who never bother to check the forecast range on them. They were 45 day cumulative rainfall forecasts that took us into the first few weeks of July and they did a great job in showing the wet weather we’ve had.

The same model run for the next 45 days show’s a persistent pattern into mid August…

CFSI leave you with your tracking tools…

 

 

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.