Good Sunday, everyone. Waves of showers and thunderstorms are back in the bluegrass state today, and these could cause more high water problems. The heaviest rains will likely impact the southern and eastern parts of the region through tonight.

Slow-moving thunderstorms will be common in these areas and could deliver another 1″-3″ of rain. This could cause significant flood problems to develop as our ground is still soaked from recent rains. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH is out for many areas during this time and we will likely see warnings issued from time to time.

The showers and storms will likely develop all the way to the north of Interstate 64 in central and eastern Kentucky. The models all summer have been too far south with the placement of showers and storms.

Track away…

 

 

The pattern for the rest of the week into next weekend will find “real” heat returning to our south and southeast with a shot of cool to our north. Guess what that means for our region? If you said more storms… Congrats!!

Euro

The European Model rainfall forecast for the next week and change shows the end result pretty clearly…

Euro 2

Not exactly what we want to see, but it’s really been the dominant pattern of 2015 with May being the exception. This setup means we will need to be on guard for more high water issues.

The European Model still wants to dig a big trough into the eastern part of the country in a little over a week from now…

Euro 3

We actually need something like that to happen so we can dry things out a bit. If not… it’s pretty much more of the same with rounds of storms and near normal temps.

Make it a great day and take care.