Good Monday, everyone. The first full week of August is underway and our weather pattern really doesn’t look the part. If anything, it looks a lot more like something out of late fall or winter with big dips in the jet stream showing up across our region. That leads to rounds of showers and storms with shots of cool air.

We have a cold front on top of the area today and this will lead to a line of showers and storms zipping through here. A few of the storms could be on the strong side and I will have your tracking tools in a bit.

The pattern really gets busy with a couple of systems working right across our region by the middle and end of the week…

Canadian

That could lead to some very heavy rains setting up somewhere across the Ohio Valley. The Canadian Model seems to be the most consistent with this setup…

Canadian 2

Let’s hope we don’t get that much rain, but the setup is favorable for some decent totals in the coming days.

That low system then turns the corner and up the east coast with much cooler air diving in here from the northwest. Upper 70s and low 80s for highs from Friday through the weekend? That’s a possibility. How about lows deep in the 50s?

GFS Temps

The Ensembles are then showing another deep trough swinging in around the middle of the month…

GFS Temps 2

Here are the tracking tools of the day…

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Make it a great day and take care.