Good Saturday, folks. We’ve made it to the midway point of August and the dog days of summer have been pretty wimpy, so far. Temps for the month are solidly below normal, despite attempts to hype “no-show” heat in some circles.

As we move into the second half of August, the pattern looks like it’s getting back to some of the active ways we’ve seen the past few months. It may not be to that extent, but the action is certainly picking up. We will start things out today with scattered showers and storms across the region. Southern and southeastern parts of the state got in on a few of those Friday, but the weekend stuff could pop anywhere across the region.

Any storm that goes up today could be a bit on the strong side…

 Highs out there today should generally run into the middle 80s for many areas.

Sunday’s weather should bring similar conditions with temps coming up just a degree or two for some. Scattered showers and storms will continue to increase into early next week and that should help keep temps around normal for afternoon highs.

Showers and storms will increase on Wednesday as a stronger cold front enters the picture from the west…

GFS 2

This is a front I’ve talked about for the past several days and now the operational forecast models are really picking up on it. Each run seems to take on a cooler look as we get closer. Check out the temperature departure crash on the GFS from Wednesday into Thursday…

GFS

If that’s right, it would be another impressive blast of cooler than normal temps for the second half of next week.

Temps should rebound pretty quickly and could even turn steamy for a bit after that. The GFS then brings another trough in a few days later…

GFS 3

I’m on record saying the pattern tries to skew warmer for the second half of the month into early September. I say that even as the CFS is backing off on the warm temps it’s been showing during that time.

I will have some new fall and winter models coming your way on Sunday.

Enjoy the day and take care.