Good Sunday to one and all. We have another potent cold front swinging into the state today and this will deliver another major blast of fall. The air coming in here for the upcoming week is likely to deliver some of the coolest air we’ve had since late spring.

Today’s front works from west to east with scattered showers and storms going up ahead of it. The actual boundary slides through here tonight with winds gusting up and temperatures tanking. The west and central parts of the state hit the 50s by Monday morning with the east, still dealing with the front, in the 60s.

Look at the Monday morning forecast numbers in the plains states…

NAM

That’s from the Hi Res NAM and really illustrates how cool of an air mass we’re talking about.

Mostly sunny skies and a gusty northwesterly wind settles in for Monday with highs in the 70s. From there, this is the pattern that sets up for the rest of the week…

Special 2

Cooler air continues to push in for Tuesday through Thursday with highs generally in the 70s. Overnight lows can drop into the upper 40s in some areas. All of this comes with a gorgeous, fall sky to go along with the pleasant temps.

The new CFS for the rest of August shows a cooler than normal look…

CFS 3

The “skewing warmer” idea keeps getting pushed back into September. Even there, the CFS is waffling between warmer and cooler. At this point, it’s pretty hard now to go against a cooler look. That’s been the setup since late summer of 2013 and really shows little signs of changing. This has been one stable pattern.

While on the subject of temps, my twitter followers may have noticed me going off on the official Lexington temperature at Blue Grass Airport… Again. The faulty temperature sensor was replaced last November and it worked like a charm until the past month. It’s now back to skewing daytime temps much warmer than surrounding sites and what the climatology of the site would suggest.

The site worked properly for a whopping 8 months after a very expensive fix. This go around, I’m not alone in trying to figure out what’s going on with the site. Some pretty big players are getting involved… Stay tuned!

I leave you with your Sunday tracking tools…

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

 

 

Make it a great day and take care.