Good Sunday to one and all. We have another potent cold front swinging into the state today and this will deliver another major blast of fall. The air coming in here for the upcoming week is likely to deliver some of the coolest air we’ve had since late spring.
Today’s front works from west to east with scattered showers and storms going up ahead of it. The actual boundary slides through here tonight with winds gusting up and temperatures tanking. The west and central parts of the state hit the 50s by Monday morning with the east, still dealing with the front, in the 60s.
Look at the Monday morning forecast numbers in the plains states…
That’s from the Hi Res NAM and really illustrates how cool of an air mass we’re talking about.
Mostly sunny skies and a gusty northwesterly wind settles in for Monday with highs in the 70s. From there, this is the pattern that sets up for the rest of the week…
Cooler air continues to push in for Tuesday through Thursday with highs generally in the 70s. Overnight lows can drop into the upper 40s in some areas. All of this comes with a gorgeous, fall sky to go along with the pleasant temps.
The new CFS for the rest of August shows a cooler than normal look…
The “skewing warmer” idea keeps getting pushed back into September. Even there, the CFS is waffling between warmer and cooler. At this point, it’s pretty hard now to go against a cooler look. That’s been the setup since late summer of 2013 and really shows little signs of changing. This has been one stable pattern.
While on the subject of temps, my twitter followers may have noticed me going off on the official Lexington temperature at Blue Grass Airport… Again. The faulty temperature sensor was replaced last November and it worked like a charm until the past month. It’s now back to skewing daytime temps much warmer than surrounding sites and what the climatology of the site would suggest.
The site worked properly for a whopping 8 months after a very expensive fix. This go around, I’m not alone in trying to figure out what’s going on with the site. Some pretty big players are getting involved… Stay tuned!
I leave you with your Sunday tracking tools…
Current watches
Make it a great day and take care.
Chris, I thought you might like the temperature fraud that had been uncovered by the Capital Weather Gang in Washington DC at Reagan by NOAA since 2014. Sensors been found to be giving at least a 1.7F warming bias….this time NOAA was caught with its pants down and by their response it’s obvious this is all politically driven.When confronted with an obviously broken weather station that was reading way too hot, they replaced the faulty sensor, but refused to adjust the bad readings it had already taken.
When dealing with “the pause” in global surface temperatures that is in its 19th year the agency threw away satellite-sensed sea-surface temperatures, substituting questionable data that showed no pause.
Make of that what you will!
Very interesting information, Caroline. Oh how politics seem to undermine everything include weather data!
here comes the black helicopters.
you you can hear about it on the next Alex Jones Show.
the Trilateral Commission weather conspiracy
Thank God for this beautiful weather!!! What a blessing. And thank you Mr Bailey for your tireless work.
With that being said I always have that the warmer climate is a hoax. Our climate comes in cycles.
Exactly. Why did all the ice melt after the ice age? Can’t blame that on humans driving cars or coal burning power plants.
Think about this: All of the new energy star appliances that are using so little water and energy to protect the environment, right? But they build such crap now that a washer/dishwasher/ becomes so expensive to repair, it ends up in a landfill only after a few years. How is that helping the environment? It’s like covering a stain on the carpet instead of getting rid of the stain.
because there was too much green carbon in the atmosphere!
just for the record.
this past July was the hottest July recorded on this earth.
which is not your backyard.
I love fall and of course winter.Stay on it Chris.Everyone have a great Sunday.
Richmond seems to keep dodging the storms and rain over the past few weeks…. Is it the sign of a drought???? Just kidding CB 😉
Grrr! 🙂
Chris Eric elwell thinks we are going to have a warm dry winter Chris re you seeing this also I would hate to think hat we are going to have a mid winter then turn around and still have spring and summer no cold and snow just makes me sad
Marsha not being critical of what you post. But Chris also has saying we been stuck on a same pattern and don’t see winter is gonna be any different the last two winters we had. Of course El nino may have something to say.
That is what typical strong El Ninos are suppose to bring to the Ohio Valley and Southern Appalachians; however, one must factor in the pattern that has been driving the strong, active northern branch which is the warm Northeastern Pacific waters (Arctic Oscillation). It really is not yet possible to tell how bad this winter will be, but early old-timer signs such as heavy fruit, black wooly worms, August with multiple days of thick fog, etc., etc., is potentially an early alarm that we will not have a dry, warm winter in KY for sure…
It’s interesting reading all the talk of the upcoming el nino. It could be the strongest ever recorded from what I’ve read. In my opinion, it means we’ll either have very little snow or a ton of it. I don’t see much in between.
We are due for a harsh winter that i experience as a teenager back in the late seventies. Its was a blistery cold and a lot of snow that you could imagine. No winters has happen since then.
I agree, I am ready for a dome busting, shut down the city, old school winter.
Must have not been in Central Kentucky back in early March.
Shawon that was nothing compare what happen back in the late seventies. Those winters we had back then was brutle.