Good Sunday, everyone. August is just about ready to give way to September and our weather pattern is finally looking and acting the part. After one major fall fling, we have steamy temps and scattered storms taking center stage in the coming days. But, for how long? I will dive into that in just a bit.

In the near-term, a disturbance works northward into the region today. This means an increase in scattered showers and storms compared to what we had Saturday. With the increase in clouds and boomers, temps will come in a few degrees cooler, too.

The week ahead will be dominated by a daily threat for a scattered shower or storm and temps on the toasty side. This is a seasonal brand ofย  warm air, but with a pretty good surge in humidity. The real deal heat looks to stay west and north of our region…

Euro 2

It’s interesting to watch the trend of the current pattern because it pretty much fits the script of the past two years at this same time. Hmmm.

The steam and scattered storm threat should take us through the Labor Day weekend. Beyond that, changes start to show up on many of the medium range models. Look at the cool shots lining up on the European just after Labor Day…

Euro 3

The Canadian Model also develops a trough over the region during the same time…

Canadian

The GFS Ensembles are also strongly hinting at a fairly deep trough developing around the same time…

GFS Temps

The more things change… ๐Ÿ˜‰

What’s left of Erika is still heading toward Florida, but it has a serious struggle if it wants to redevelop into something.

Let’s track the storms firing up in our neck of the woods…

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Have a great Sunday and take care.