Good Wednesday to one and all. The “skewing warmer” pattern I’ve been talking about for the past several weeks is doing some work across the commonwealth. Late summer is bringing the steam as humidity levels continue to climb. This increase in juice should also give us a better chance for scattered storms in the coming days.
Temps from today through Friday should be similar to what we had out there on Tuesday. Scattered storms will likely increase a bit and that could impact the numbers. Any storm that goes up during this time can put down some locally heavy rains.
Labor Day Weekend will see a bit of a decrease in temps with a few more clouds and scattered storms around. It’s still very warm and humid, but maybe not as toasty as we are now.
A cold front makes a run at us early next week, but the models all differ on how to handle this. The GFS, believe it or not, has shown the best run to run consistency with this thing over the past several days. It brings the front in here later Tuesday and Wednesday…
That allows a wave of low pressure to develop along the boundary with an increase in showers and storms later in the week. That develops on a healthy temperature gradient along the boundary…
Is that model correct? The European Model doesn’t think so and keeps the front to our north. Should be an interesting early fall model fight after a summer in which both models weren’t very good.
The GFS continues to point toward a bigger push of cool by the middle of the month…
That’s a very busy setup on the model over the next few weeks and leads to a lot of rain across the country…
That would certainly have a good chance of verifying if these cool shots are real. The CFS certainly thinks they are. Check out the 10 day temp departures for the middle of September…
I leave you with your storm trackers…
Have a great day and take care.
I am already hearing some local meteorologists saying that the heat in September is related to El Nino; I disagree. Usually, El Nino does not directly impact our weather until about November through the winter/spring of the following year. I think the AO will have a great impact on the northern branch later this fall and winter as it has for the last 2 years straight, and all of this dry, warm talk for Kentucky will not pan out. But still, I could be wrong too…
It will be interesting to see what happens this winter but even if it does end up a warm/boring winter, that’s OK! After two big ones last year and -20 temps hearing the house and everything pop from the bitter cold, I’m OK with a warm winter.
Mark I hope it’s not a warm boring winter,I don’t think it will but what do I know that’s why I follow the man.I have noticed no matter how steamy the day gets its got that chill in the air in the late evenings. I love fall and winter.
TWC is bizarre I’m watching Mike Bettis and Carl Parker sit on lazy boy’s talking about El Nino nonchalantly with not a care in the world. It’s like watching a talk show very strange.
Interesting, Louisville mets are not convinced about that cold front slated for next week. Thinking is the high pressure established over the Ohio Valley will be strong enough to keep the front from making it in the Commonwealth.