Good evening, gang. Heavy rain continues to fall across much of the region. Several spots have already picked up more than 1″-2″ of rain with more on the way in the coming days. That’s especially true if the big east coast storm gets cranking by the end of the week into the weekend.

The storm in itself looks like a given. The big question is, will it be able to capture Tropical Storm Joaquin? The latest GFS shows a monster storm that does just that. Notice how the model develops rain around here early Friday with possible Hurricane Joaquin lurking near the Bamamas…

GFS 2

Now, watch what happens when the mid atlantic low fully captures the storm…

GFS 3

Notice how that monster of a storm works toward the west and northwest with rain and wind increasing around here . VERY chilly temps show up during this time…

GFS TEMPS 1Those highs are more than 15 degrees below normal…

GFS TEMPS 2The latest European Model brings similar conditions to our region, but looks a little kooky with the latest run.

The UKMET is very similar to the GFS as it shows the storm capturing Joaquin in the mid atlantic states. These are 24 increments…

UKMETWe will see how things look as we roll forward, but the potential for a very ugly weekend is there.

I leave you with your radars to track…

 

 

I’ll see you tonight for a normal update. Take care.