Good afternoon, folks. We continue to track a wild setup as we head into the first few days of October. Joaquin is now a Hurricane and should become a strong one over the next few days. The interaction between our hurricane and an east coast storm could create an absolute monster over the weekend.

Before all this happens, we have bands of heavy rain to track across central and eastern Kentucky. A steady band of heavy rain has already produced 1″-3″ of rain in part of west-central Kentucky. Recent runs of the NAM had a great handle on that setup and continue to do so. The Hi-Res NAM initialized perfectly with the placement of the band this morning. That same model suggests it slowly works east and northeast into  central Kentucky later today into Thursday.

Check out the heavy rain totals over the next few days…

NAM

From there, rain is likely to increase from the east later Friday into Saturday. That will be the case with or without Joaquin combining forces with the east coast storm. The NAM shows a wall of rain and wind rolling in early Saturday… NAM 2Temps through this time are VERY chilly with lots of highs in the 50s.

So, what about the monster storm potential? That is most certainly on the table, but we will continue to see wild model swings with that possibility. I will update all that later this evening.

Updates as needed later today. I leave you with your daily dose of radars…

 

 

Take care.