Good evening, gang. We continue to track some ugly weather across the bluegrass state, and that’s a sign of things to come as we head into the weekend. This is all part of a extreme setup across the eastern part of the country.

I don’t have a lot of time, so let’s hit the high points.

– Scattered showers continue across the area this evening. That picks up as we head into Friday with some locally heavy downpours. Highs in the central and east will stay in the 50s again.

– A potent storm system along the east coast will throw more showers and a period of heavier rains west into the region on Saturday. That’s when the heaviest rains may fall… especially in the east and southeast.

– I like what the NAM is showing for rain numbers…

NAM– That matches up well with the European Model and we also find the guys and gals at the WPC putting out a similar forecast…

WPC– Highs on Saturday will be back in the 50s for many areas.

– Winds will continue to be gusty and could approach 35mph at times in the coming days.

– What happens with Hurricane Joaquin? I still think we are a ways away from that being determined. Joaquin is a powerful Cat 4 storm in the Bahamas and will slowly lift to the north on Friday. From there, we find many of the models in the same camp we found each of them last night.

The European Model continues to push that storm well out to sea. The GFS has joined that line of thinking, but the  model looks kooky with the handing of the east coast storm. The Canadian Model still has a North Carolina landfall.

The NAM allows Joaquin to initially escape only to be pulled back to the west late Sunday. The model only goes out to 2am Monday and shows the system on a westerly/northwesterly course…

NAM 2Nothing is set in stone with this kinda setup, and we still have some time to figure it all out.

Regardless, windy, wet and chilly weather will be common around here through Saturday. I will have a full update later tonight. Until then, track the pesky showers we have out there now…

 

 

Take care.