Good Friday, folks. We have some very nice weather pushing into the commonwealth of Kentucky over the next few days. That bodes well for those of us who would like to get outside and enjoy our weekend. All of this changes in a big, big way by Monday as winter weather returns to the region.

This return to winter has been well telegraphed for a while now, with a deep trough digging into the eastern part of the country…

GFS 2

There’s a lot of energy dropping into our region and that means we have waves of snow squalls and snow showers coming Monday through Wednesday. Some of the latest model runs are now introducing a clipper system into the mix for Wednesday into Wednesday night…

Canadian 2

Over a 3-4 day stretch, anywhere from an inch or two to several inches of snow may fall where you live. I would like to get more specific, but that’s hard to do until we can see how each of, the many, pieces of energy play out.

The Canadian Model snowfall forecast through Thursday includes the clipper, but is based on a 10-1 ratio…

Canadian

Again, don’t get caught up in snow maps from this far out. This is not a true storm, but a several day event where we get waves of snows pressing through here. The best chance for accumulations and some snow days looks to be from Tuesday-Thursday.

Looking at the next two weeks on the individual members of the GFS Ensembles from WeatherBELL, we find an active pattern continuing…

GFS 3

I look at this pattern and wonder if we are setting ourselves up forย a big overrunning system around the middle of the month.

Updates later today. Until then, enjoy your Friday and take care.