Good Saturday, everyone. We have a very nice weather weekend in progress across our part of the land. Sun and clouds will battle it out as thermometers run a little above normal for this time of year. By Monday, all of that goes out the window as winter returns.

I’m not going to spend a lot of time rehashing the same ideas I’ve talked about for a while now. Our first front drops in Sunday night with some rain and snow showers increasing. Temps drop behind that front as the next wave of snow showers and squalls kicks in from the northwest later Monday. The NAM future radar shows widespread coverage into Tuesday morning…

NAM

One of the cool things to look at in a northwesterly flow situation is the relative humidity at 925mb. When you see a lot of low-level moisture like this…

NAM 2

That’s a good sign for widespread snow showers and squalls across our part of the world.

The GFS continues to pick up well on the snowfall potential through Thursday morning…

GFS Snow

It wasn’t as robust as the earlier run because it lost the Wednesday clipper. I think there’s still a chance of seeing that system return to the models.

The snow in the week ahead is going to “nickel and dime” us to death. It comes in waves, with a three day total of 2″-4″ (locally higher) for many areas. Higher amounts will certainly be a good bet in the upslope favored areas of southeastern Kentucky.

Winds will be very gusty during this time as arctic air sweeps in.

Another shot of arctic air sweeps in here by Friday…

Euro 2

That could produce another period of light snow or snow squalls across our region. From there, we will then watch for a possible system to impact the region around Valentine’s Day.

By the way… wild swings are taking place on every single model. That’s common is such a ramped up and energetic pattern like we’re seeing over the next few weeks.

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.