Good afternoon, gang. Today is a full blown “frozen tundra” day across much of the bluegrass state. Blinding snow squalls, blowing snow, gusty winds and frigid temps are combining forces to give us another taste of the north. Guess what? We have more winter on the way.
A streak of light snow moves into western Kentucky late today into tonight. This action weakens along the way…
Some light accumulations will be noted in the far west with that batch. Snow showers and flurries will FINALLY start to wind down for the rest of the region. Temps tonight in the central and east can drop into the high single digits if skies clear some.
A true arctic front moves in later Friday, but may have a wave of low pressure along it. The NAM is increasing the chance for some light snow Friday into Friday evening…
The same model fires up the Lake Michigan snow shower/squall machine for Saturday…
Temps on Saturday may not get out of the upper teens for highs in some areas. Lows by Sunday morning can drop into the single digits.
Later on Valentine’s Day, we will track a system working in from the west. I’m still not sure how this works out or how strong it can get, but it has plenty of potential. The GFS is still rather convoluted with the scenario, but is picking up on it finally…
I’ll have a full update on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm, and another blog update this evening.
I leave you with your tracking toys for the afternoon…
Enjoy the day and take care.
Thanks for the update Chris! Seems the models are really struggling with this late weekend system so far.
What are the thoughts on the Valentine’s Day storm thus far? Let’s hear it!
Hoping Canadian verifies. Has a good hit for almost entire state. Euro looks to bring low too far into ky an make it a snow to rain back to snow event. Hfs hasn’t had much til today but it doesn’t look to bad. Here’s hoping for at least 6-8 for e/seky
In the blog he says:
Later on Valentine’s Day, we will track a system working in from the west. I’m still not sure how this works out or how strong it can get, but it has plenty of potential. The GFS is still rather convoluted with the scenario, but is picking up on it finally…
The two snows a few weeks ago + this week’s cold, ongoing snow showers and perhaps Feb 14/15 event are making this a “good” winter considering how warm December was. Rodger in Dodger APPROVES!
Rodger, what do you think of the Valentine’s Day storm?
Complicated! Strong storm probably pulls more warm air north and brings rain into the forecast. Weaker system stays colder with some snow but not a thumper event. Models will bounce around until it happens. Rodger trusts Mr Bailey’s instincts. Rodger in Dodger!
all speculation until the storm arrives on land. If you are in favor of snow the father North you are the better the chances according to the European model . Only time will tell.
Does anyone have a link to the euro?
I live in Shepherdsville and everything is speculation right now. But we`re hearing a warming will take place and all snow (if possible there) would be from Louisville northward, right now. A mix of rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow will be more possible. The models are showing around 33 to 34 degree`s in Louisville on Monday. So……………we`ll see.
I just pulled forecasts from multiple sources for Lexington (I like to record them and see who was most accurate this far out). So far the NWS Louisville is not putting numbers on potential snowfall Sunday night into Monday. The Weather Channel.com has 1-3. Forecast.com has 1-2, Accuweather 2-4 and Intellicast 5-8. Take your pick! LOL
Looks like a mostly rain event for kentucky.possibly mixing with snow and sleet in far north ky.that’s just the reality. Southern and central ohio looks to get snow.
What makes you think rain?
I would <3 some Valentine's Day Snow! Here in the CVG we've had more snow the last three days than we had the entire "big" snow that the rest of the state had a couple of weeks ago. It's about time we get ours!
The northern trend is dashing a big snow hopes in KY. not to say it want shift back south on later models.
Here’s to hoping Cincinnati gets to see some significant accumulations this time around 🙂