Good Thursday, folks. This has been an extreme winter across the bluegrass state. From record warmth to a historic snowstorm, to the harsh pattern we’re in now… There’s no shortage of wild. That wild continues to show up over the next week with more arctic air and the potential for a bigger storm.

In the short-term, skies become partly sunny. Temps will be in the high single digits to low teens to start, and low and middle 20s for the afternoon.

Arctic air is on the way for the weekend and could be introduced by a period of light snow and snow showers. That arrives Friday…

NAM

Some light accumulations can’t be ruled out with that setup. Winds will become very gusty as readings drop toward 10 degrees by Saturday morning. Those northwesterly winds may bring some Lake Michigan snow showers into parts of central and eastern Kentucky early in the day…

NAM 3

Temps behind this are trending colder. Take a look at the forecast lows…

GFS TEMPS 1

Wind chill forecast for Saturday morning…

GFS TEMPS 2

This takes us to Valentine’s Day and the potential for another snow maker. It’s looking like we may be dealing with two systems instead of just one. The first may be a light snow maker arriving during the daylight hours on Sunday. Here’s the European Model…

Euro

That initial snow band weakens as a stronger system develops to our southwest by Sunday night. This should track across the Tennessee Valley and then up the mountains or the east coast. Where that goes and how strong it gets will be the determining factor on how much snow we get across Kentucky. It could be a little or a lot, but it’s too early to tell.

The latest European Model isn’t as wrapped up with the storm as earlier runs…

Euro 2

The Canadian Model is a little stronger, but has a similar track…

Canadian

For fun, here’s the snowfall forecast from that run of the Canadian…

Canadian

Again, these are just snapshots of what the models are currently thinking. All I can tell you is we have the potential to be impacted by a developing winter storm system. The extent of that impact remains to be seen.

I’ll update things later today. Make it a great Thursday and take care.