Good evening, gang. The 70s are here and will hang tough for a few more days. That’s when we turn our attention toward an increasing threat for thunderstorms and heavy rains.

Storms increase from west to east late Thursday into Thursday night. The models are really keying in on some decent totals during this time…

GFS Rain

That would be enough to cause some high water issues across, especially, the western parts of the state.

Additional showers and storms move in over the weekend, adding to the rain totals…

GFS Rain 2

That map looks very much like the risk map I put out several days ago…

Special 2

Are we done with winter? If you’ve been watching me on WKYT-TV, you know that’s a question the anchors have been throwing at me this week. My answer is… probably not. Several of my initial analog years featured some late March and early April winter intrusions. 2007 and 1987 being among the biggest two that come to mind.

Here’s the GFS around the time the calendar flips to spring…

GFS 2

Behind that…

GFS 3

No thanks!

Make it a great evening and take care.