Good Wednesday to one and all. Damp and chilly weather has control of our weather for a few more days. From there, it’s time to get down to business about Kentucky Derby Weekend. While out temps start to warm, a few storms may try to crash our big day.

Our Wednesday of weather features a strong cold front diving in from the north with showers and storms ahead of it. Gusty wind and small hail may accompany this action. Another half inch of rain is likely for central and eastern Kentucky, with locally higher amounts.

Scattered showers and chilly temps last into Thursday as this monster trough digs in…

Euro

That would look REALLY good in the wintertime!!!

That system pulls away on Kentucky Oaks Day with a leftover shower possible in the far east. The farther west you go, the better the weather as temps rebound.

Kentucky Derby Saturday will feature temps warming into the 70s ahead of a cold front dropping in from the northwest. We may see a line of showers and storms approaching the region later in the afternoon and evening…

Canadian 2

The timing on that is absolutely crucial, and the arrival time has been speeding up on the latest model runs. That’s not what we want to hear. All the models are spitting out rainfall Saturday into Saturday night.

The Canadian Model is amped up…

Canadian

The GFS is, too…

GFS

Again, those totals are just from Saturday into Saturday night.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see a round of strong storms dropping into the region from the northwest during this time. This should kickoff a setup that features a much better threat for severe weather over the next few weeks. The GFS rainfall forecast over the next week and change…

GFS 2

Here’s what you need to track today’s action…

Enjoy the day and take care.