Good Sunday to one and all. We continue to track a pipeline of tropical moisture into much of our part of the world. This has a direct connection to the Gulf Of Mexico and will produce waves of showers and thunderstorms over the next several days.
This is leading to the threat for flash flooding, especially across the west and north. That’s where we could see some big time rain amounts setting up. As a matter of fact, MAJOR flooding is possible across sections of the Ohio Valley. Without wishing ill will on anyone else, here’s hoping the worst stays away from the bluegrass state.
Across eastern and southeastern Kentucky, the stuff is more scattered in nature. But, any storm that goes up will be capable of producing flash flooding. There is just an incredible amount of moisture available.
In looking ahead, I can’t find one day in the next week to ten days that looks totally rain free across the state.
This setup is pretty incredible.
We will start the fall and winter talk later in the coming week. For now, it’s all about tracking heavy rain producing showers and storms…
Have a great Sunday and take care.
In my area of Southern Ohio the forecasters have changed the chances of rain so much this week that you do not know what to believe. They might as well said it may rain or it may not. They all want to think they are the ones who got it right when it comes to forecasting storms of summer & winter.
Chris,
What’s your estimate on when that huge line of rain will start moving south?
Looks like the forecast is for the Cincinnati market 😉
We did indeed set a record “high minimum” in Lexington yesterday of 76 degrees. That is some steamy air! From what little research I did,that is one of the top 10 “hottest” low temperatures in at least the past fifty years.
The all the “high minimum” for Lexington is 83 set way back in 1874. Let’s hope we never break that record!
SE Ridge seems to be stronger than orginally thought (looks like the models finally caught on about the SE ridge yesterday with the 12z runs) its impressively keeping the solid rain shield just to the NW of Kentucky. I do remember reading earlier last week the NWS out of Louisville was somewhat skeptical of what models were saying about the excessive rainfall amounts just because of the SE ridge. Frustrating for forecasters, I know Louisville forecasters had 70% chance of widespread rain yesterday which did not remotely occur. Thus the flash flood watch has been cancelled for counties in KY that were bordering the Ohio River.
Yep! How many winter events hand we missed here in Louisville because of the SE ridge. Glad to see it happens in the summer as well.
All this computer power and Mother Nature does what she wants when she wants where she wants!
I’ve really never fully understood the southeast ridge. I’ve always heard of it on here. Whatever it is, it’s always there, but sometimes it relaxes or moves back and fourth? I don’t know
Anyway, it’s confusing because, right now, I’m looking at a big complex of rain moving from northern FL into Southern GA, BUT…. the southeast ridge is able to keep the moisture pretty much west of Indiana.
forth – not fourth –
Anyway – why not just call it what it is? The Bermuda High
http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/weather/whothumd.htm