Good Tuesday, everyone. The much anticipated fall feel has arrived in the bluegrass state, and will stick around for a while. As a matter of fact, the overall pattern now looks very much like fall, and has the chance to really crank it up over the next few weeks.

Temps today will be in the 40s to start with upper 60s and low 70s for highs. A mix of sun and clouds will be noted, but I can’t rule out a shower.

Scattered showers increase on Wednesday as a BIG upper level low cuts off across the region. Watch this bad boy settle in right on top of us…

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That spells an increase in showers and scattered thunderstorms for the second half of the week into the start of the weekend…

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That’s from the European Mode, and the GFS has decided to jump onboard…

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I’m wondering if we can get a cold air funnel out of this? Hmmm

Here’s the deal, any day that keeps clouds and showers around will have temps struggling to get out of the 50s. The GFS highs for Friday…

gfs-temps

Cooler than normal temps remain into the coming weekend as the upper low slowly moves away. While temps may rebound some early next week, I don’t see anything to get worked up about as the pattern really gets busy.

Matthew is developing in the Caribbean and will work toward the eastern Gulf of Mexico or off the southeastern coast. The overall development and path of Matthew will be huge in the overall pattern next week.

The latest European model for the middle of next week shows another deep trough digging into the middle of the country, with Matthew crossing Cuba…

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That’s a heck of a look and the GFS has something similar trying to happen. Watch how the deep trough digging through here catches Matthew along the east coast…

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Again, there is a very large spread on where Matthew can go. Anywhere from the Gulf to up the east coast, but there seems to be a growing threat for some kind of impact.

There is also the threat for some pretty good cold shots to show up across the central and eastern parts of the country over the next few weeks. When, where and how cold may be decided by what Matthew does.

Have a great Tuesday and take care.