Good Monday to one and all. While we are enjoying another stretch of gorgeous fall weather, the pattern is looking to turn more active later this week into the coming weekend. It’s likely the opening shot of a bigger change lurking over the next few weeks.
Today starts with some 30s and patchy frost, then it’s more of the good stuff. That good stuff carries us through Wednesday, and then a cold front move in. This should bring a gusty band of showers and isolated thunderstorms from Wednesday night into Thursday…
Temps will be back in the low and middle 60s for Thursday.
A wet weather maker then develops across the Mississippi Valley late Thursday, and rolls toward Kentucky Friday into Saturday. Here’s the GFS…
Here’s the European Model…
The models are then in agreement with another cold front dropping in from the northwest Sunday into Monday. That may have a much broader band of rain…
As I said, things are indeed looking more active, and we can use the rain.
There’s likely to be a bigger system impacting the region late next week. That one may be pushed by a winter looking air mass diving into the country.
Speaking of winter, the new SST seasonal model is out and shows something similar to the winters of 2013/14 and 2014/15 in terms of being back loaded. Look at the amount of cold across much of the country from January-March…
Interesting that it’s now showing something like that given I’ve been mentioning those two historic winters for a while now. Both had the infamous warm pool of water off the west coast into the Gulf of Alaska… Just like this year.
Have a great day and take care.
Yes we can definitely use the rain.
Id like to order a different kind of Winter this year.. Im willing to have more snow days if we can have less in the way of huge snow falls and below zero temps.
A second that motion.
Another t-shirt and shorts X-mas season and not getting any snow until Feb followed by 2 snow events (that will be hyped here relentlessly as if the prior snow drought didn’t happened) isn’t winter. Much like having 2 large rain events in a season doesn’t cancel out a drought no matter how much rains falls those 2 times.
There was no “relentless hype”.
I hate to say it but the 2014-15 is about as good a winter as you will experience in KY. I had a client recently that is from Michigan. Some how or another, we got on the subject of winter and we discussed the “harsher” winters we have been having and she laughed it off saying “this is barely average for where I am from.”
It is all relative…someone from Miami who has never experienced any real winter weather would likely think 2014-15 was awful while “northernors” would scoff at us in KY complaining about a few sub zero days and a foot of snow!
Really? Relentless Hype?? SMDH
I expect to see some moderate drought expansion into part of SE KY this week on the upcoming drought monitor which would be the first in a very long time…here’s to hope that we can get some rain down this way too!
Of course no one wants destruction from a hurricane. Florida and the Carolinas are still dealing with all that water. But it was surely hurtful for those in SE KY, east TN, north GA and north AL as they were hoping against hope that moisture from Matthew would quench the parched ground in these areas.