Good Friday, folks. We have a surge of some big time warm air ready to blow back into the bluegrass state. This will take up residence for a few days, but that’s just part of the wild. The setup for the second half of next week and beyond looks wild for totally different reasons.
Let’s start with today and roll forward. Highs will range from the mid 60s north to the low 70s south and west. This is also the area with the best chance for a shower or two to go up this afternoon…
A few showers will then lift northward tonight into Saturday as temps start to climb. Readings by the afternoon will surge deep into the 70s.
The next cold front stays just to our north on Sunday, allowing temperatures to really take off. Highs will flirt with 80 and should hit the low 80s early next week. Much of the eastern half of the country will be well above normal…
That air is ahead of a BIG system likely to crank for the middle and end of the week, and it’s one that could spawn a lot of rain and storms followed by colder air.
The European Model takes it a step further and tries to entrain a tropical system into the mix…
To show you how crazy that setup is, the first map starts on Wednesday and the last map is the following Sunday.
The GFS has a similar theme, minus the tropical system…
Have a great day and take care.
If that what it takes to receive some rain. I hope it comes to fruition.
That GFS map for next week looks crazy (and chilly!)
Unfortunately, this has been a very bad year for any true mid-range forecast. I wouldn’t put a dime on the current strong storm system yet until about 48 hours before. I hate what has seemed to be never ending “teases” so far this year with the models a week before showing everything from hurricanes to upper level lows pounding KY then we get missed completely, at least in SE KY.
Sure hoping for some good soaking rains here in east and south east Tennessee..we have been in a drought all summer pushing 17 inches!! Below normal down here… hopefully we will make it up in some nice snowfalls this winter!
I wonder what the record for most days of 80 or higher in a year is? This year has to be close. It has been consistently warm for a long time and continues into Mid October. Most years see 1 or 2 80 degree days in October…looks like we are in for ten or more this year!
I want TennMark to find some data regarding the the driest monthly rainfall for cities in KY. So far at my house 3 miles east of Harlan, KY, I am still at 0.00in for the month-to-date through the 14th. Although I highly doubt staying at no precipitation for October, I wonder if it has ever happened where any city in KY has ever stayed at 0 inches for the month without even a hundredth of an inch?
At least in my 33 years of life in Harlan-co, I have never seen no precipitation for a monthly total but I have seen several months around an inch only like back in 2007. Unfortunately, Harlan, KY is too small and does keep historical records like the big cities or even the smaller ones like Jackson or Corbin.
Frankfort had only a trace of rain recorded in September of 1895.
Thanks for the info. This year, I have recorded over 10 inches in June to only 1.89 in Sept…definitely an extreme year as far as excessively stormy to virtually no storms from one month to the next.
All these 80s in October make me sad. Bring on the snow already!