Good Tuesday to one and all. It’s another seasonally chilly day taking shape out there today, but all eyes are on the loooooong Thanksgiving holiday weekend forecast. We have several systems set to impact our weather during this time. This is part of pattern that is kicking it up a notch or ten.
A week and a half ago, there was a national weather story talking about how there was no winter weather in sight across the country. Since then, a major blizzard hit from the Rockies to Minnesota, dozens of college football games over the weekend had snow covered fields, flakes flying all the way into the southern Appalachian Mountains and now comes historic lake effect snows into parts of New York and Pennsylvania…
I saw a report of 40″ of snow near Oswego, New York. Wow!
Back here in the bluegrass state, rain arrives from west to east later tonight and early Wednesday. If that gets into northern Kentucky early enough, it can start as a touch of sleet. Showers should put down some nice totals across the region, with the heaviest amounts in the north and west. Temps will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Thanksgiving Day will have lots of clouds and a shower or two hanging around the central and east. Seasonal temps will be noted.
Another system works in here late Friday and could bring another shower chance…
There will be a lot of clouds around this entire holiday weekend as temps stay fairly seasonal.
This pattern is going to continue to throw storm systems our way every couple of days. The next one on the GFS arrives late Sunday into Monday…
The next one following that up for late Monday into Tuesday…
That sets up the following system for a much farther south and east track for the final day of November…
That particular GFS run has a pretty good snow track for us as we close November and open December.
The GFS runs through the next few weeks and keeps additional big systems swinging in here. Check out the total liquid precipitation during that time…
Talk about a pattern going from 0 to 60! Let’s see how all this evolves, but the blocking developing in Canada is going to cause some wild weather across the country. Every form of precipitation is on the table over the next few weeks. Yippee?
See you guys later for another update. Enjoy the day and take care.
Yes Chris, a “yippee” is certainly in order, and the way the pattern is evolving, you may need to amp up your Winter Forecast!
I bought an extra snow shovel, just in case!!☃☃
Thank you Chris for your blog. I check it
every morning when I wake up, then later for your updates. Your blog is the most informative of any other blog anywhere.
Thank you for the great job you do.
Good to see the pattern evolving to winter! Rodger remembers several big December snows including the BIG 24″ throw down (in his backyard) in December of 2004! That was fun. Thanks for all you do, Mr Bailey. Rodger in Dodger
I am going on a backpacking trip first weekend of December in West Virginia (near Snowshoe…) hoping for some snow and real winter. What are my chances? Anyone out there have an opinion?
Sunny and 80 just kidding
That’s what I was hoping for!
Hopefully that precip map comes true, It’s a serious drought situation all across the southeast.
checking in for the active season, looks like it is about time for business to pick up on the blog
I am definitely hoping for all of that precip, but in the meantime, I am trying to figure out why the leaves are holding on so tight this year. We still have some trees fully “leafed” here in Harlan after hitting low 20s again this morning, even a few are pretty still. Usally, low 20s once would have knocked the leaves off but we have been in the 20s several times now.
My oak hasn’t even changed color yet
Thanks Chris! Things look to get very interesting.
Finally pattern starting to show signs of life – If there really is a balance in weather then “LOOK OUT”, because since spring our weather here has been YAWN city, so in order to balance that out, big things should happen. And the flip in the pattern couldn’t happen at a better time of the year 🙂 🙂
Agreed. Serious drought spreading, so a pattern flip-out is needed.
Even if we only get half of the precipitation forecasted, we will still receive about as much in in the upcoming few weeks that we had seen over the past 3 months plus in SE KY!