Good evening, gang. I’m dropping by for a very quick update on the pattern as we roll ahead. We have some showers moving in here for our busy travel day on Wednesday. This kicks off a very active pattern that can give us more precipitation over the next 2 weeks than we have seen in the past 2 months.

The showers moving in here late tonight may start as a touch of sleet in the north. That’s something to watch for…

The rain increases from west to east tomorrow afternoon into the evening. The heaviest rains will fall in the north and west.

Leftover showers will be possible into Thanksgiving and a lot of clouds will hold tough through the rest of the holiday weekend.

A weak front arrives late Friday with gusty winds and just a small shower chance. Seasonally chilly air blows in for Saturday…

gfs

The next system really winds up from late Sunday into Monday and will throw a lot of rain and wind our way ahead of it. As it cranks up to our north, temps crash into early Tuesday with a mix possible behind that…

euro

You can already see the next system gathering steam across the Texas Panhandle. That one could be more of a winter weather maker by Wednesday and Thursday.

There is just so much going on with these systems diving in here, that the models are going to show some wild swings over the next few weeks. Look at the amped up upper levels next week…

gfs-3

All of this fits the blocking pattern setting up. The NAO and AO are forecast to go in the tank, and the EPO is joining the fun for the first time in a loooooong time…

 

ao

That should spell a very fun and active December for much of the country.

I will update things later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.