Good Sunday, everyone. We have a couple of big storm systems set to impact our weather as we get ready to close out the month of November. These two will combine to bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the entire region. This type of setup is long overdue,
Clouds will increase out there today as temperatures spike into the upper 40s to low 50s in the east and mid 50s west.
Rain arrives quickly from west to east on Monday and becomes heavy at times into Monday night and early Tuesday…
Some thunder and lightning will be possible with that batch of heavy rain moving in. We will also have to watch for a pocket of high winds rolling across the state…
Monday night could be a rough night for light sleepers!
We catch a windy break in the action by Tuesday afternoon and evening, but the next system starts to move in by Tuesday night and early Wednesday. This should bring another round of moderate to heavy rain to the region…
GFS…
Canadian…
Both show much colder air wrapping in behind that system, with an outside shot of some flakes in the opening hours of December.
As far as the rainfall numbers go, I still like a general 1″-3″ (locally higher amounts) Monday through Wednesday. Something like what the GFS is showing…
Seasonally cold air then hangs tough for the remainder of the week, with the weekend forecast still open for discussion. The models can’t figure out what to do with energy across Texas and the southwestern part of the country. Some runs hold this back, others try to bring it out.
The new Canadian for next weekend splits the difference and brings a piece of it out…
Like I said, this is a very busy pattern and I think it is just getting started!
See you guys for another update later today. Enjoy your Sunday and take care.
Bailey the winter u have spoke of keeps disappearing with each day. I’m starting to wonder if the WHOLE Winter going to be a MILD one.
Too soon to give up. Besides this ongoing warm/dry pattern will take a while to break down to cold/wet. That process is underway. That’s what’s important. Winter rarely arrives overnight. Rodger in Dodger
The stronger the storms that infiltrate the eastern US beginning next will also help unleash more cold air later on!
I don’t think this will be a particularly harsh winter, but like you, I think it is way too early to give up on a “no winter show.” I think we will have SOME winter weather between now and early March but not a 2014-2015 type of season.
Its not even December yet rolo, relax bubby lol
To be fair, in a blog post a few weeks ago he said he would be surprised if we didn’t have our first true snowfall in November.
Winter it’s a coming late December, until then maybe will get lucky with a festive snow before then.
I think he said he wouldn’t be surprised lol
True, but Mr Bailey sometimes goes out on a limb and that is very risky long-term in the winter. HOWEVER, Rodger likes that because most mets can’t see past their noses (models). Now I’m seeing other mets saying December will be cold. Rodger is anxious to see. Rodger in Dodger
I’ll trust a real meteorologist like CB any day.
my prediction is for 12 inches of snow or less for whole state except OHIO RIVER counties may see little more. for all winter
I trust Bailey, I’m actually going on his less of excitement on his winter weather forcast.