Good Monday, folks. Some MUCH needed heavy rain is working across the state and is the first of two such systems impacting the region over the next few days. These two may deliver more rain than we have picked up the past two months. That’s a testament to how dry it’s been, and to how juicy these systems are.
Oh, and winter continues to show up in a big way on the models.
The heaviest rain with this first round will be over the west and central parts of the state. This action won’t reach the east until later this evening and should last into early Tuesday. Rain totals will quickly diminish across the east with some areas not picking up a half inch. Your heaviest rains come with the next system. Before then, we track the current rain maker…
High winds are a real threat for several hours this evening into he wee hours of the mornings for central and western Kentucky, especially. We can get a batch of winds exceeding 40mph to race to the northeast. A 50mph gust wouldn’t shock me and I would hope a Wind Advisory gets issued.
The rains quickly end in the east early Tuesday with a mix of sun and clouds for the rest of the day. Temps will run mild as southwesterly winds kick up ahead of the next system. Heavy rain and some thunder arrives quickly Tuesday night and carries us into Wednesday. The heaviest rains with this will be across the eastern half of Kentucky.
Between now and Wednesday night, most of the state shoulda average 1″-3″ of rain.
Much colder air filters in for the opening of December. It’s a seasonal brand of cold that can offer up a rain or snow shower by Friday as some moisture sneaks in from the northwest…
As far as the southwestern system goes this weekend, the European Model brings the whole show out and develops one heck of a storm and moves it right across our region…
Taken at face value, that would bring the potential for flooding rains, high winds, a big temp crash and some wraparound snows.
The GFS is back to bringing it out in a couple of waves. The first passes to our south this weekend…
It then brings the rest of the energy out our early next week and unleashes winter behind it…
It’s interesting to note, that the European Model has a similar look with the next system coming in from the west and trying to deepen at the same time…
So, regardless of the exact evolution of the storm system this weekend, as long as that southwest energy ejects out, winter crashes in big time behind it. Giddy up!
I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.
And so it begins. Obsessively checking the blog. Watching every news station’s weather forecast to see what they say. Texting friends and family to look out! Ahh, good times.
Same here except I don’t watch the TV news mets much anymore. Mr Bailey is my #1 source. Rodger is rooting for winter in near western Kentucky! Rodger in Dodger
Don’t forget the wishcasting from the SEKY crew!
Depends on the storm track set-up. We do fair well down here if the lows go through Carolinas…you never know.
We could very well go from severe and extreme drought status (SE KY) from early December to no drought state-wide by the end of the month!
Plus, we can’t rule out a possible winter storm (or 2) over the next several weeks…awesome.
since the end of oct we heard giddy up Winter coming 2nd week of Nov, then it was end of Nov and now first week of Dec. my point is nothing the models have show CB has pan out. Rolo Winter forcast 12 inches of snow or less with mild temps for most part.
I usually agree with you roll, but not hete
Typical Rolo flip flopping as always. Yawn.
He will be calling for an old-school storm next.
It’s coming just give it time were still in fall season!!!!
It almost sounds like you’re saying nothing has changed since October – that we are still having warm sunny almost “summer like days” LOL
Trust Game of Thrones: “Winter is coming…..’
Something worth mentioning on the 5:00 report Chris-a significant wildfire in the Great Smoky Mountains National Park has led to the closure of US 441 (Newfound Gap Road) between Gatlinburg TN And Cherokee NC. According to social media reports, there is heavy smoke and even reports of ash in downtown Gatlnburg. Come on rain….
I noticed the 12z gfs has the mega rain to snow storm on it again!?!..hmmm
I just saw it. It makes one wonder…. 😉
I know we don’t put too much emphasis on AccuWeather forecasting lol but henry margusity said this will be one of the nastiest Decembers he’s ever seen and I quote ” the Ohio valley has some huge storms showing on the models in December”…let the fun and games begin
Henry is pure hype!!
Oh I totally agree lol but its that time of the year! So I’m excited
The video and pics coming out of Gatlinburg are crazy.. The smoke is so thick it is like darkness in mid afternoon.
I witness something like that in 2012 when I lived in Colorado springs…had to endure the waldo canyon fire…couldn’t go outside without something over your face…it was heartbreaking
If you follow weather globally, you’ll note that while we had the “endless summer” Fall here in KY and most of the US, northern Asia/Siberia has been ridiculously cold. Sure they’re cold anyway, but in this case, severely colder than normal for them.
Although late in coming, there’s data out there to suggest that ridiculously cold pool of air could slosh over to our side of the pole and give most of the Eastern US a frozen second half of December a-la 1983. Thoughts?
Wsaz calling for cold temps but little snow this year
Lol wsaz is laughable