Good Wednesday, folks. Heavy rain and thunderstorms continue to push across the eastern half of Kentucky today. This action may cause some local high water issues as we wrap up November. December is ready to kick off with more action and a distinct turn to winter.

The southeastern part of the state has a chance to see some local flooding issues through the first half of today, while the better weather slowly takes over for the rest of the state. Here are your tracking toys to start the day…

Seasonally cold air filters in from west to east later today. That sets the stage for normal temps to begin December with highs in the low and middle 40s over the next few days.

This brings us to the weekend and system that’s looking more and more like a player. The European Model is back to showing a healthy storm system from late Saturday through early Monday…

euro

Taken verbatim, that’s a light wintry mix to start with heavy rain taking over from there.

The GFS is heading in that direction (shocking)…

gfs

That actually starts this out as a period of light snow early Sunday…

gfs-snow

The Canadian is more of a blend of the GFS and European, and also shows a wintry mix possible on Sunday…

canadian

The first true arctic air mass of the season is likely to descend into the country early next week, and should impact our weather in about a week from today. The European Model has this arctic front working in here with a healthy snow maker developing along it…

euro-2

We still have a lot of time to see what kind of snow, if any, this arctic front brings our way. But, the air behind this is cold for much of the country…

euro-3

The GFS is advertising a similar shot of air, but it’s introducing it with a bigger storm system…

gfs

It’s pretty amazing to look at the pattern for this December and compare it to the past two warmer than normal Decembers. There are zero similarities… Like none.

I will throw you another update or two later today. Make it a good one and take care.