Good Sunday, folks. Some areas can get in on a flake or two early today, but the real winter weather arrives in the coming week. This pattern is locked and loaded with another big rain event that leads us into Arctic air and some snow chances.

As always, we start with the weather out there today…

A weak system is bringing some light rain that can mix with a few snowflakes from time to time. Today is just a damp, cold and dreary day across the Commonwealth. Temps range from the upper 30s and low 40s to the mid 40s west and south.

Another soaker of a system will move in here late Monday and Tuesday. This can drop another one inch or more across much of the state. Here’s the NAM…

nam

Notice how it’s not just Kentucky getting in on the rainy action. The Tennessee Valley into the deep south continues to hit the rain jackpot after months and months of drought. Bring it!

This is the time of year just about everyone wants to see cold and snow. It’s December and Christmas is 3 weeks away, so even many snow haters like to see some action for the holidays. Well… Old Man Winter is trying to deliver the goods.

An arctic front moves in here by Wednesday night and will unleash some very cold air for the second half of the week. This front will try to spawn a weak wave of low pressure along it, which could enhance a little band of light snow. The European continues to show this wave…

euro

The GFS is much faster with the arctic front and only has a few snow showers and flurries…

gfs

The truth is likely between the two, as always. Regardless, that’s a very cold shot of air on the way for the second half of the week.

That will last into next weekend, and that’s when we focus on another system working into the region…

gfs-2

That’s likely to travel across the Tennessee Valley instead of amplifying into a monster storm. Of course, that’s still several days out and we will see many model variations on strength and track in the coming days.

I will have another update later today. Enjoy your Sunday and take care.