Good afternoon, gang. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the all important forecast for Christmas weekend, and the slightly less important forecast for New Year’s.

Nothing has changed leading up to this weekend. Rain (a touch of sleet north?)ย moves in this evening and will be heavy at times tonight and early Saturday. The action becomes more showery for Christmas Eve and Day as temps climb. Highs on Christmas can hit the 60s for many.

Similar temps will be noted Monday as a cold front gets ready to move in. A band of moderate rain and some thunder will sweep in here along that front. Decent rain totals are likely from Tonight through Monday night…

canadian

A stronger cold front marches into town by Thursday and brings the return of winter. Colder temps take over and some snows may fly during this time.

New Year’s Eve and Day continue to send out an interesting signal. Blocking gets established by this time as the EPO, WPO and NAO are forecast to go negative at the same time.

The end result on the current model runs…

GFS

gfs

GFS Parallel…

gfs-gif

Canadian…

canadian

I will have another update for you later today. Until then, track the rain in from the west…

Enjoy the day and take care.