Good afternoon, everyone. I only have a moment, but wanted to throw out a very quick update on the return of some winter weather.
A cold front moves in this evening with gusty showers rolling from west to east…
Northwesterly winds kick in behind this system for later Thursday into Friday. That should produce snow showers and flurries across central and eastern parts of the state…
Some coatings will be possible for many, with local 1″ amounts possible in the east on Friday morning…
The New Year’s Eve system moves in with mainly rain, with some snowflakes trying to mix in…
That will be followed up by a more potent system late New Year’s Day and into Monday. Gusty winds will likely usher in showers and thunderstorms during this time. Another round of heavy rain is there for the taking.
Arctic air then surges in here on Wednesday and could be accompanied by a wave of low pressure along it…
That’s some absolutely frigid stuff moving into the country for the second half of next week into the following weekend. It’s a setup that will also try to spit out some winter storm systems working just to our south. The GFS now sees this…
Lots of potential on the table over the next few weeks, so let’s sit back and enjoy the ride of tracking it all. Isn’t that half the fun? 🙂
I will update things again this evening. Enjoy the day and take care.
Bring back the 70’s please.
Yes! Without severe t-storms perhaps, but yes.
B H, you and I are seemingly among the few warm weather folks here.
Yes, TennMark here in Southern Ohio I’ve seen my fair share of cold and snow. I like going out side without a coat on.
He can’t do that, ya know.
It’s makes almost zero sense wanting warmer weather after the record setting Christmas we just had. Besides it seems we’re in a volatile pattern which should yield a little of everything for everyone. As for me, I’ll take my 70’s in the spring and enjoy/root to see the wonders of winter given that’s the season we’re in.
Yeah, I find uniqueness and joy in every season. If it doesn’t snow in winter, so what?
I agree much of the fun is in the tracking. Thanks so much for giving us the longer range (post 7 day) models.
Mr Bailey is great at seeing the long-term pattern changes well in advance of everyone else. If we get a snow next week, the NWS offices will be lucky to catch on and even mention it more than maybe two days in advance. Thanks for all you do! Rodger in Dodger
Well I like where the rain snow line is for the next weekend system.
There is a possibility that the wholestate might get involved with the white flakes.
Let’s see if the traditional Western shift comes to fruition.
I think most mets see the long range pattern changes just like CB does. The difference between most met’s the NWS and CB is, that CB doesn’t mind going out on a limb and show the potential of what may or may not happen. Most met’s and the NWS play more of the conservative approach where CB leaves it all out there. I know for a fact that CB gets a lot of criticism for that approach (mostly haters). Chris Bailey, John Belski, Brian Goode these three met’s are the best in there respected market bar none. All three go above and beyond to explain in great detail about pattern changes and what they see in the foreseeable future.
Well said. CB puts his thought process out there along with various outcomes.
You’re 100% right. Rodger didn’t mean the NWS offices can’t read the long range models, it’s just that they won’t talk it up ANY until it’s an obvious situation. Mr Bailey is THE MET for we winter weather weenies! Rodger in Dodger
The radar by itself shows the vigorous strength and rapid intensification of this new storm system as the dewpoints are low for such quick t-shower development. The big “bombogenesis” word has been dropped for the northeast…fun tracking times are now full steam ahead!
I’m a bit confused about the part where Chris says storms moving “just to our south.” Is he sees the potential for storms to move just to our south completely missing us, or does he mean he sees the potential for the low to track to our south leaving us on the snow side?
Snow side unless the trough pushes too far south…looks favorable this far out for the WINTER GOODS!
Model’s already going north of ky with snow.same ol
EPsnowfall don’t pay attention to the models this far out. I hate these models suggestions until at least 2 days before the actual event.
The models will go north and they will go south 2 dozen times between now and the projected date. It’s too far out for any model to even accurately “suggest”. Take it as a grain of salt at this point. Models which “guide” 2 weeks out is purely for amusement.
I hate temp swings without special weather! If we’re going to be in the 70’s, at least give us some severe. If we’re in the 20’s, some snow. I really hate this 40’s with moderate rain setup