Good evening, folks. Old Man Winter is about to make a triumphant return to the bluegrass state over the next several days. This comes with arctic air and our first widespread snowfall from Thursday into Friday.

It’s our first “First Call For Snowfall” of the season…

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For those of you not familiar with how I do things, I put out a first call, then update it and then throw out the “Final Call For Snowfall” before the event starts.

I will start by saying, this looks like an overachiever and I may be underdone in a few spots. Areas of eastern and southeastern Kentucky can see some local 4″ amounts. The GFS shows this well…

gfs-snow

Some of the individual members of the GFS Ensembles are also showing a bigger event…

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The European Ensembles are made up of 51 different members. Here’s the average snowfall from those 51 different runs…

euro

That’s pretty healthy to see from that many different runs.

The Hi Res NAM also shows some healthy totals, but is likely way underdone in the southeast…

nam

Slick travel is likely to develop Thursday and carry us into Friday as arctic cold temperatures take full control.

The next system is still forecast to just brush southeastern Kentucky, but there is still some wiggle room on the models with this one.

Overnight lows this weekend into Monday can drop into the single digits for much of the state.

I will have a new call for snowfall on WKYT-TV tonight at 11 and on the blog with my late night update.

Enjoy the evening and take care.