Good evening, folks. Winds… Those winds! Gusts topped out at 50mph in many locations today, causing power hits and outages. This is kicking off a wild period of weather across our part of the world.

You know my thoughts on it all, so I won’t bore you with a rehash.

I will show you how the WPC is now closely watching the potential for freezing rain on Friday. Here are the percentages of seeing freezing rain by different time periods on Friday…

wpc

wpc-2

wpc-3

That, at least, validates the concerns I’ve had now for several days. We are walking a very fine line with freezing rain from early Friday through early Sunday.

The American models seem to be playing catch up to this potential, as they have been too warm with temps compared to other models.

The NAM through Friday evening is starting to see this a little better…

nam-2

The GFS is farther south  that its earlier run, but remains the northward outlier…

gfs-snow-2

A degree or two difference will make all the difference between ice and just a very cold rain. Personally, I am cheering on the cold rain, but everyone in the weather world should be talking about the potential for some freezing rain. That’s a threat you just don’t downplay, but you don’t overplay. Just let the people know the options from 3 days out. It’s really that simple.

I see many of you are saying winter is over… On January 10th. I guess we learned nothing from the past 3 winters? đŸ˜‰

I will update things later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.