Good afternoon, everyone. We have a warm front lifting back to the north across the region and it’s bringing heavy rain and a clap or two of thunder. Much milder air then surges in here, but a wilder change of air masses is on the way in the coming days.

First and foremost, let’s track today’s rain…

Temps head toward 60 behind this front and may stay there all night long. Wow.

The arctic front then moves in Thursday night, erasing the mild from northwest to southeast. Temps by Friday morning drop into the low and middle 30s and this could touch off some freezing rain in the north and west. The WPC outlook for freezing rain from Friday morning through Saturday morning…

wpc

That follows along with our thinking that northern Kentucky has the greatest risk for some freezing rain. The new Canadian Model has a rather ugly look in the north and far west…

canadian

That map goes through Sunday.

The GFS continues to be slightly warmer with less ice across the board, but still hits the far north…

gfs-snow

The NAM only goes through Saturday, but is farther south than the GFS…

nam

I suspect it may not be until Thursday before the models fully get a handle on how far south the 32 degree line actually gets. The models do not do well with such shallow, low-level cold air.

I will update things later today and on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm.

Have a great day and take care.