Good evening, folks. Warmer temps continue to surge into the region as a warm front drifts to our north. This will open the floodgates for a spring-like day on Thursday. That “spring” feel will go the other way quickly by early Friday as an ice threat shows up for parts of the state.

That ice threat still has us walking a very fine line across the bluegrass state. The greatest chance for some freezing rain will be across the north. The latest freezing rain threat maps from the WPC really show that well…

WPC

WPC 2

WPC 3

WPC 4

Those maps closely resemble the freezing rain map from the European Model…

Euro

We have to wait and see exactly where that 32 degree line sets up, but it’s safe to say it will be in the vicinity of northern Kentucky.

Once we get into Sunday and Monday, temps surge again on a strong southwesterly flow. That flow is ahead of a slow moving upper level that will cause additional showers and thunderstorms to develop and roll across the region. Rain totals over the next week are impressive…

GFS 2

Obviously, those kinds of totals can cause some high water issues.

Once we get through all that, the same pattern of the past 6 weeks shows up as things trend much colder. The European Ensembles from WeatherBell shows the return very well…

Euro 2

The GFS is almost identical…

GFS Gi 6

I will update things later tonight. Make it a great evening and take care.