Good afternoon, gang. The ugly weather keeps on keepin’ on across the bluegrass state. Even as temps take off in the days ahead, things still aren’t going to be very pretty. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will come calling… Each… And… Every… Day.:(

While the March week of weather is going on, Old Man Winter is lying in the weeds and ready to pounce.

Let’s start with the current weather. I’ll let the tracking tools do the ugly talking for me…

Highs Monday and Tuesday will surge toward 60 and then into the 60s. Gusty southwesterly winds will blow, with showers and thunderstorms increasing.

We may catch a chilly break on Wednesday, but more showers and thunderstorms work in later Thursday and Friday. All tolled, another 1″-2″ of rain is a good between through Friday. Can you say soggy?

We continue to watch this pattern evolve toward another back loaded winter. One of the cool ways to illustrate this change is to look at the 500mb anomalies for the next 10 days on the European Model. Watch how the big warm ridge across the USA gets pushed north into Canada. As it does so it strengthens into a healthy block allowing bowling ball winter systems to roll eastward across the country…

Euro

That first massive cutoff low blows up across the region about a week from now. Watch how the surface low rapidly deepens toward the northwest…

Euro 3

Yowza!

Here’s a different look at that storm system…

Euro

Cutoffs like that can produce some very extreme weather and that is something we will be mindful off as we go through the next week.

Beyond that, the ensembles continue to go toward something like this…

Euro 5 Euro 6

Have I mentioned I’m not a fan of back loaded winters? 😉

Enjoy your evening and take care.