Good evening, everyone. We have another big rain event rolling toward the state Thursday into Thursday night. This is the first of two big systems I’m tracking over the next several days that can put down a lot of water in our region. After we get through all of this, here comes the back loaded winter.

I have zero changes on the heavy rain and high water potential for Thursday into Friday morning. Much of central and western Kentucky will get another 1″-2″ of rain that can cause some flooding problems.

Very mild air then surges in here later Friday into Saturday as highs soar into the 60s. This will be ahead of a massive storm system working from west to east across the region later this weekend.

Scattered showers and a thunderstorm will try to develop ahead of this on Saturday…

GFS 2

The new GFS takes this storm directly east across the Tennessee Valley, putting rotating heavy rain bands across Kentucky…

GFS

If that is the track of the low, look out, flooding would be a very high threat around here.

The European is just a smidge farther south and you can see how the colder air comes in behind this into early next week…

Euro

As winter takes control by the second half of next week, there will be several systems diving into the deepening trough across the eastern part of the country. The European Model now blows up one of those systems into a winter storm…

Euro 3

The GFS isn’t ready to commit to that, right now, but it does show snow makers diving in from the northwest…

GFS 3

And this begins another back loaded winter weather pattern for our part of the world. Grr.

Enjoy your evening and take care.