Good evening, everyone. Heavy rain continues to push into the region, leading to the potential for some local flooding issues tonight. From there, it’s another big surge of rain we track later this weekend with winter coming back later next week.
Tonight’s rain will be heaviest from the Interstate 65 corridor to the Interstate 75 corridor. It’s this area we will get a general 1″-2″ with locally higher amounts. That’s the area to watch for stream and street flooding…
The 60s will back in here Saturday. Winds will increase with some scattered showers and thunderstorms possible during this time.
What happens with the exact track of the Sunday-Monday big storm system? The NAM continues to bring this right across the state…
If that’s the track, flooding would become an issue. If that stays into Tennessee, the heaviest rain would be just to our south. Let’s hope that’s the case.
Winter surges in here by the middle of next week with a series of systems diving in from the northwest. The European Model is similar to the earlier GFS runs I posted. It shows some light snow makers starting Thursday…
That northwesterly flow can become a nice snow producer if it sets up as all the models currently suggest.
The GFS then follows all that up with even colder air and bigger systems diving in next weekend into early the following week…
I’ll see you later tonight for a full update. Enjoy the rainy evening and take care.
The NAM solution would absolutely cause flooding issues if correct
Last year at this time we were planning for a major snow storm. Same setup as the weekend system, but cold air was in place. Hopefully the Backloaded winter is just that and not just a week of cold then warm again. The CFSV2 Ensemble 45 day snowfall map has most of Ky with deep snow cover. One could only hope.
Unfortunately the CFSV2 Ensemble 45 day snowfall maps could not have been more inaccurate so far this season.
Long range models have not been great this year. It seems as though the cold keeps getting pushed back and when it does show up it’s short lived. Maybe we will get one good snow but it’s not going to be from a clipper for most of the state.