Good Monday,everyone. A big storm system continues to impact that weather across the bluegrass state as we start the week. By the end of the week, winter starts to fight back with much colder temps and some light snow.
Today will feature our powerhouse storm cranking to our east and southeast. This will cause rounds of heavy rain across central and, especially, eastern Kentucky.
Areas in the east can pick up a general 1″-2″ of additional rains through Tuesday morning. Winds will also be very gusty as our low cranks to the east.
A strong cold front will then move in here on Wednesday with gusty winds and a passing shower.
A strong northwesterly flow then kicks in behind this front and that will usher in periods of light snow and snow showers starting Thursday…
This continues to look like a northwesterly flow that can send some light snow makers into town every day or two into the weekend and early next week. We will need to be on guard for one of these systems to dig and ramp up into something littler bigger. The models are hinting at something trying to do that by Sunday.
The overall look from the GFS Ensembles continues to show a wintry setup over the next two weeks..
I will update things later today. Make it a great day and take care.
” I am dreaming of a White Clipper”
Pretty neat…my area of Valley Station in southwestern Jefferson County right on the edge of deformation band. Now, if this was snow, I’d be a little more upset. But, since I don’t want any more rain, I’ll let this one go. But, this better not become a pattern when the cold sets in, like in years past. Sighs.
Was thinking the same thing. Looking at radars movement we here in the Ville might not get a drop of rain. While points just a jaunt to the east gets flooding rains.
Thelma Lou is a little upset, Jackson forecasts sunshine & upper 30’s for us this weekend not a real chance for snow…and in this update Chris mentioned the setup for the next 2 weeks we were hoping for a full blown February winter. If she can’t go sledding with her friend Helen, she’ll be pouting all Spring.
Doesn’t sound like our fearless leader is committed towards a backloaded winter taking over past that first week in February. I am getting tired of the rain.
Well, the good news perhaps being no ice and we so far have not go the bad weather from the south. Seems a win 🙂
We might get a couple few inch snows. Might.
It’s been so long since I’ve seen the sun, I feel like I’m in a nuclear winter……………ugh. At least snow would brighten things up a bit!
No kidding, we’ve not had a wall to wall day of sunshine in over two weeks.. (Since the last cold snap when the highs were in the teens).
Enjoying all this mud! (Said no one ever)
#imnotbitteratall
#snowlesswinter
Rodger would gladly take e5 or e17 on those ensembles but it’s really not looking like much snow is in the cards for us this year. Worst winter for tracking anything in years. At least heating bills won’t be so bad. Rodger in Dodger
Those are the product code numbers for each of Lucy’s footballs 😉
Bubba! This is funny!
Come on Old Man Winter get the ol YAWN meter off 10 just one time…doesn’t look promising though, looks like if we do get some white stuff, it won’t be around long, gonna warm quickly behind it, it looks like anyway. But, here’s to hoping
Can I get one e5 and a couple of E17’s please. Been a very frustrating winter season for us snow lovers. But on the bright side we only have a month and a half left of this frustration. Can we get that one big storm? The pattern and trend say no, but you never know with Kentucky weather. Thanks for the update CB.
Love e5 and e 17.
Can someone tell me what those notations mean? How to read those ensembles?
Thanks for the update. I’m kind of even missing the week away storms now. Not even had to worry about the famous NW shift the day before the storm.
Moving on from winter for now, La Nina looks to promote an active, severe weather year, especially tornadoes and hurricanes. It may be partially responsible for the Spring setup and jet stream combination with all of the deadly tornadoes in the deep south over the weekend.
Last La Nina was 2011…think Tuscaloosa, AL and Joplin, MO.
2008 was another La Nina year with an above average hurricane season…think Ike, we in Kentucky are all too familiar with that one.
Also think April 3 1974 (the so-called Super Outbreak). One can even go way back to January to March of 1890 (a series of exceptional tornadoes in Kentucky and adjacent states).
Granted, a few significant tornado outbreaks have also happened during El Nino (like April 1998) and more neutral conditions. Some La Ninas have had relatively few tornadoes. But as Mike S touched on, La Nina can be particularly notorious for severe wx.
A reminder that NWS SKYWARN storm spotter c-l-a-s-s-e-s are popping up. Consider being a storm spotter as it remains an invaluable supplement to radar in getting out early warnings that can save lives.
Agree. Been a spotter for at least 13 years now.
We were spotters when all we had was an AM transistor and fire dept radio. We didn’t have cell phones or laptops. We went by cloud and weather formations and conditions alone.
Wow! I’m old.
We are a little over a month and a half away from the 24th anniversary of the “93 Superstorm”(March 15th). For those of us who remember, the storm which dumped 20″+ in many locations from the Midwest all the way to Atlanta marks the date that the winters as we knew them previous to that date ended. The climate did something of a flip at that point. It was common in years prior to have a couple or more 5″+ snows per season (and that was in the TN Valley). Since, then, seems we are lucky to get a couple ankle biters a season with excessive rain to boot. I miss those winters…
Winter isn’t over folks, that storm came through in March after all, but our chances of anything significant certainly aren’t looking good if you believe in the trend. Point being, still, anything can happen.
We did not know it would hit until less than a week out. I remember that one. It was a surprise and a lot of people were in denial until the day it happened. Famous last words for that one: “It ain’t going to happen, Spring is next week!”.
Midday model runs look half way decent for snow this weekend question is will the models continue there enthusiasm as the week goes on?
PS it’s a Sunday event, clipper system but looks rather potent.
Clipper over more rain would be nice.
“rather” than more rain. Not literally on top of the rain…. Or maybe is is literal…..
Ain’t that the truth
Que sera, sera. 🙂
Whatever will be will be, the future is not ours to seeeeee!
I added the “not” 🙂
I pretty sure BG went with no rain at all with this system! Some odd, because just a few days ago we were getting 1-2 inches!
Good miss then 🙂