Good Friday, everyone. The weather out there for the next few days is pretty tranquil, but things are going to take off in a hurry once past the weekend. That’s when a big storm system brings about a nice battle between spring and summer, and that means some fun weather across Kentucky.
Let’s start with today and roll forward. A weak system is bringing some clouds our way and those clouds can spit out a flurry or two. Temps will be colder with near freezing in the north and low 40s in the far south.
Saturday will feature clouds on the increase with temps heading toward 40 for many, with warmer readings south and west. This is ahead of a fast-moving system set to bring some light mix in here by Sunday morning…
Temperatures by Monday will warm into the 50s as showers really begin to increase. This is ahead of a big storm system rolling our way for Tuesday and Wednesday. This is basically a storm that will bring a surge of spring followed by a blast of winter… all within a 24 hour period.
The GFS shows a wind-driven rain and thunderstorm event with a 30 degree+ drop in temps and some wraparound snowflakes from Tuesday into Wednesday…
The model then follows that up with another potent system that has much more of a winter storm look for Thursday…
Obviously, that’s a little farther south than earlier runs, but it’s still there on the model. Whether or not that’s a real system is entirely up for debate. 🙂
I will update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.
Meh…Even our least snowiest winter seemed snowier than this one. Not relying on backside snow and the second system is going to hit Atlanta. Just not in it for our region this year, but I can’t complain to much as the last three have been pretty nice.
So far, the least snowiest would have to to be about .5″. Richmond had about one inch so far, and that’s with rounding.
This is easily the least snow winter so far since I have lived here. No question. We have had wimpy winters, but this one will take the biscuit… and the butter, gravy, jam, honey, bacon, sausage, cinnamon and anything else that goes with biscuits.
LOL
So sad
I think you hit the nail on the head when you said, “a nice battle between spring and summer”!! I’m sure you meant to say winter there …. but summer makes far more sense considering winter has yet to show up. But oh I’m soooo looking forward to more RAIN!!! I mean seriously I’m not sure how much more my head can take before I move to Idaho.
I haven’t take too muck stock with the GFS runs, it hasn’t been accurate all winter long comes to snow forecast.
Oh the GFS has been accurate alright, accurately 7 days out showing a fantasy Ohio Valley snowstorm and then poof it’s gone. GFS does that on a weekly basis, accurately.
Actually the GFS storm track has been pretty accurate. It is the precipitation type the GFS can’t get a week or two out. Many of the, would be, threat level storms were without a cold high in place therefore we received all rain.
I see your coming around to the “put a fork in it” forecast Prelude. Springtime is upon us, I hope haha
My point click forecast showing 9 degrees to night.. Seriously?
There goes the storm. Nothing on the 6z…
The 12 z run is trying to bring it back..Not there yet by a long shot but at least it is showing a streak of snow thru west KY and TN..At this point I think us snowlovers are grasping for straws in hopes of something.
Don’t forget the GFS tendency to lose a storm at the 5 day mark.
This Winter has been so forgettable , he forgot and called it Summer. I can see this year how you could mix them up. Next week warm up rain then a couple days of dry cold. Then we do a repeat the following week.
The CIPS extended analog using the GFS ensembles did help accurately pinpoint where the highest percentage for at least 2″ snowfall would occur with the last measurable snowfall system for some (just not me). Eastern KY was projected with greater than 50 percent.
Well, through mid February, the same source says only slight chances exist for snowfall of at least 2″, and that is, again, confined to eastern Kentucky.
Anybody notice the hurricane in off the coat of Florida on the 12 z run.
Nope. Looks like a standard fare deepening low pressure area with a large blocking high to the north to me. Meteorology 101 says ‘air flows from high to low’. The funneling of easterly winds would push waves toward the U.S. seaboard with that setup. And you should know ocean waters off the coast of Florida and even the Gulf Stream are too cool to support tropical activity.
It was a joke. But this global warming is making me wounder.
Nope. Use more carbon!