Good evening, gang. March weather keeps on dominating our winter pattern with lots of ups and downs rolling on. The setup out there tonight into Tuesday can deliver high winds to go along with strong to severe thunderstorms.
The initial threat this evening is across the western half of the state, then rolls eastward later tonight through Tuesday. Damaging winds and some hail are the primary players. I will get your tracking tools in a bit.
Let’s talk about the interesting setup for Wednesday and Thursday. Colder air continues to seep in from the northwest and that will set up one heck of a temp gradient. I can see the southeast hitting the 60s at the same time the 30s are showing up in the north and west.
As the cold air pushes in, a wave of low pressure develops with an increase in rain and snow. As the low deepens to our east, northwesterly winds would cause snow showers and flurries into Thursday morning. Here’s the GFS…
The European Model also shows some snow…
That’s a healthy cold shot moving in, but it doesn’t have staying power. As a matter of fact, it gets totally wiped out by Friday as southwesterly winds kick back in. That brings the well above normal temps back in here for the weekend…
Highs in the 60s will be likely with the potential for showers and thunderstorms increasing. That’s ahead of a cold front that slows down across the region. The models indicate a big piece of upper level energy hanging back across the southwestern part of the country.
Watch how the European Model then ejects that system out and tries to form a big winter system next week…
We are not going to get out of this setup without paying a price to Old Man Winter.
Here are your evening weather trackers…
Today’s risk area
Current Watches
Possible Watch Areas
Enjoy your evening and take care.
Jeez, but this teacher could really use a snow day or two
I bought last week you were saying we would have a big snow this week? Not the case anymore? 🙁
Yes…next week.
Hey – I am always all in for the “week away storm”.
Chris never says it WILL happen – he just shows us the models and tells us what COULD happen with a dose of what he thinks might happen.
You go Chris! You are the man (weather-man) anyway!
Is their any other model showing the week away storm besides the European?
If I had to choose between models the euro would be the one I’d prefer.
But I have low confidence that the winter storm will actually happens next week.
Thanks Chris. Hey fellow weather weenies, anyone have a suggestion of meso sites in the Nashville/ Murfreesboro area I can rely on tomorrow. Hubby is on the road and I’m trying to keep him safe and updated too. Thanks. Chris, I wish we’d get some of that winter now instead of in April and May! Put in s good word for some cold and snow. These germs are powerful and need combating! Have a great evening all and stay informed and safe. If it’s outside and will blow, better tie it down! 😉
A fair number of lightning strikes now happening in southern Indiana, so folks in Louisville might be getting a decent light show now.
I’ll take a chance of snow next week…the thrill of the chase, I guess ☺. I don’t think he’d keep saying we won’t get out of winter without something happening if he didn’t have some confidence in what he’s seeing. Then again, it could very well be small portions of KY-not all of us.