Good Wednesday, everyone. Today is a crazy weather day across the state. Things start with spring and end with Old Man Winter blasting back into the region. This taste of winter won’t last very long as spring takes control again by the weekend.
Today will feature a mix of sun and clouds and a big temperature gradient to start. The southeast will likely hit the low 60s while the north drops through the 40s. Showers and a rumble of thunder may develop in the afternoon as a wave of low pressure zips across the region.
Much colder air dives in behind this low as it strengthens to our east. That should provide us with a period of light snow settling in from northwest to southeast, with snow showers to follow into Thursday…
This can lay down some light accumulations as temps drop into the low and middle 20s by Thursday morning. Slick spots may develop on area roads.
This is a big winter storm for the northern Mid Atlantic states into New England. Here’s the GFS snow map…
The Canadian snow map is a little more aggressive with accumulations in northern Kentucky…
Highs on Thursday continue to come in colder as we get closer. Several areas may not get out of the upper 20s…
Lows by Friday morning can drop deep into the teens, but milder winds will quickly kick in during the afternoon. It could be one of those rare teens for lows and 50s for highs kind of day.
Highs this weekend will be back in the 60s with the threat for a scattered storm on Saturday, and a much better risk for storms on Sunday. That’s when a cold front drops in from the northwest…
Chillier air follows that for early next week, as we watch to see what happens when a system ejects out of the southern plains. How much phasing do we get with the northern branch? Where exactly does that phasing happen? Those two questions will determine just what kind of a storm we get.
It’s way to far out for any model to figure that out, but they keep showing some kind of storm potential…
I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a great day and take care.
Well, I finally got what I wanted, an Arctic Oscillation in the negative range. Unfortunately, what I read is the north Pacific jet is keeping the brunt of coldest air shunted mostly north into Canada. It’s always something to add to winter’s misery around here. But, I say watch out between mid February and mid March. A surprise could be coming.
Like a snow suprise??
I’m desperately needing SNOWWWW
Agreed. Hence why the NAO is having a hard time following in the AO’s footsteps IMO. We can still cash in with a neutral NAO but we’d need help from other teleconnections. The ESRL/PSD GEFS ensemble mean paints a more negative NAO than what CPC suggests so we’ll see. With the PNA and EPO approaching neutral as we approach mid-month, I’m curious what will be the ultimate driver if we’re to achieve a legit threat around these parts. As usual, the white elephant in the room continues to be the PAC jet and its hindrance in allowing ULL’s to pull down cold enough air. But for all the whiners and complainers on here, let’s be thankful we have something on the board to track for next week. For me, if I can get good snow within 200 miles of MBY, I’m definitely chasing it.
*hindrance in allowing any system (ULL’s included)
Thanks! OK, with most of that – I’m lost. You should post more comments like this on the blog to keep those of us who have no clue how to interpret that data. It’s interesting to get a sense of what signals are doing what and how it increases or decreases our chances for winter weather
I don’t like that little strip of ice showing up on next week’s potential storm. Very close to anniversary of ice storm of 2002 in Scioto County Ohio.
I lived in Scioto County in 2002 (Wheelersburg), and that is something I never want to go through again. It was right around Valentines Day wasn’t it?
This winter lover has given up on our snow chances this winter. Always next year
Ok cool. Catch ya next November.
I didn’t say I was gonna quit posting
at this point ….ill take an old school ice storm
Nope
Cool. I’m excited about some snow shots coming up.
Good conversations on here today!
Seems more that ice is our main chance rather than snow. The warm air has not been denied yet. The last two winter’s big snows had cold air winning the battle over Kentucky with the southern feds. Probably not the case this winter. We probably want no part of southern fed frozen precipitation this winter.
Will any of that snow tonight stick in northern/northeastern ky? Anyone?
This is the Honey Boo Boo winter. Even Darth Bubba would cower at the low bar darkness.
Snow day for eastern Kentucky tomorrow? Anyone?
I’m wondering the same thing? Let’s get some thoughts on this!
What about south central ky? DO we see any chance of a little snow tomorrow??