Good Saturday, everyone. Windy and mild weather has engulfed the bluegrass state and will hang tough through the first half of Sunday. This is another in a long line of spring flings in what has been a winter of ups and downs you typically see in March. Well, guess what we have for the week ahead? Yep… more ups and downs.
Temps today surge into the 60s on a strong southwesterly flow. Clouds will increase and some showers will be noted, especially later today into this evening.
Gusty showers continue into the first half of Sunday as a cold front plows through here. Don’t expect a ton of rain this weekend, with most areas under a quarter of an inch…
Temperatures Sunday morning will be in the 60s for most of the state, but will drop during the afternoon and evening. Readings will be in the 40s by late afternoon and then keep dropping through Monday morning. Lows by then should be in the 20s.
Seasonal temps and nice skies will be with us to start the new week. Valentine’s Day will find us watching to see if we can get a system diving in from the north can merge with a system across the south.
The GFS continues to answer NO to that question…
That model shows the trough digging in and leaving the southern storm down along the gulf states. If that’s the case, its a 2 day cold shot with some flurries or snow showers possible.
The European Model keeps showing much more of a phase, but the current run has the storm too far to our east for any substantial impact…
Whatever happens with that setup, another serious surge of mild air is likely to follow…
I will throw you another update later today. Enjoy your Saturday and take care.
…and the mythical snow unicorn again bounds
spritefully away…
This seem more like a recurring love affair instead of a fling 😉
I recall some of us a few years ago saying for snow, we had nowhere to go but up. This winter has proven that wrong. Unexpected.
When the snow’s away,
schools closed for illness will stay…
especially in this roller coaster pattern we’ve been in.
Will we ever get another snow day? I’m starting to give up and was wondering if you had any hope??? Or should I count down to spring break?
I will take the warm air if there is nothing white laying on the ground.
A bad year for the snow removal business.
Another positive is that I am not driving around with brim all over my windows.
Brim = brine
Thanks Chris. Would love to see something develop from the mid week disturbance that gives us some cold and snow on the ground. Unfortunately the way our winter has been I’m afraid the clouds are not stacked in our favor. At this point some cold weather for two or three weeks would be welcome. Where I work, everyone’s been sick and off for a nasty virus and the ensuing flu like symptoms afterward. I’m afraid we will pay for this with cold weather when it’s really time for warm weather. I do not look forward to a cool, wet summer. Guess we
will see what happens. Have s great Saturday everyone.
Seems we’ve already plunged directly into a springtime pattern. Mostly dry and warm with 30 mph winds on a daily basis.. I predict another short term drought and active fire season setting up.
I’m not sure how you can predict something that doesn’t look to happen. As wet as we have been and are the word drought is completely irrelevant.
It may be wet in other parts of the state but not here in the southeast. The Letcher co mesonet shows a whopping 0.4 the last 17 days. And aside from some drizzle tonight there is no significant rain in the extended..
Ah, the typical “it didn’t happen where I live, so it happened nowhere else” post.
OK, in the winter, when California has been in a major drought for years – I feel like the pattern giving them all of their drought busting rains is making the eastern part of the country overly-mild. We had decent winters during their drought years. I’m almost sure there is a connection.
I have noticed that in past years. In years past , there was breaks in the California rain train and we would get some snow during those breaks. There have been no breaks this year a storm is coming ashore in California every few days. I think this year should just be wrote off in our area. I don’t think this pattern will break down until late spring.
This blog is more depressing everyday
Then go elsewhere.
Unfortunately, I agree
I agree and its only going to get worse. It wouldn’t surprise me to see Chris post an update and nobody will comment. I wonder if that has ever happened? If it did, it was probably in the Summer.
Spring severe weather season is just around the corner so good time to review safety plans, having multiple redundant ways to get warnings, and so on. Tennessee has its severe wx preparedness week later this month and IIRC Kentucky will do likewise in early March.
Things have been relatively quiet since the March 2 2012 tornado outbreak, but there have been hints that this spring may be a bit more active such as the still very warm Gulf of Mexico waters, us being in a La Nina (even though a weakening La Nina). Time will tell of course.
Besides, late February and March can infrequently have wild winter storms. Both Nashville and Memphis have had their biggest single snow records in March……21 and 18 inches respectively, both cities hit by the same snowstorm. Not really seeing that winter will really kick up in the next few weeks, but it’s still early.
Totally agree. I guess for some excitement, we can always visit Weatherbell with Joe Bastardi, where there is always a month of bitter cold ahead and a snowstorm just around the corner (for no other reason than some random analog). lol He used to be pretty good but the last 2-3 years he just grasps at any straw he can reach.
On WKYT 7 day outlook, thursday is 32 and 60% snow threat…..that makes me smile…because I believe that 99.99% incorrect.
lol. This blog really needs a like button
Guess we should know by Monday about the 15 Feb system. Close to throwing in the towel, but at the same time the ukmet is a very good model and it agrees more with Euro. Ah well. We shouldn’t get too excited about snow here in the south.