Good evening, gang. Showers continue to press across the state, taking the edge off our spring temperatures. This action gets out of the way early Sunday, leaving us with another spring surge in temps for the week ahead. That will set the stage for a powerful storm by Friday with much colder temps to follow.

The showers tonight will actually be steady for some areas and that lasts into Sunday morning. The models are a little slower with the clearing on Sunday and that may lead to cooler temps than I thought in the central and east.

Track the evening showers…

Temps for Monday surge toward record highs in the 70-75 degree range. Strong southwesterly winds kick in ahead of a weak system moving through Tuesday and early Wednesday. That may touch off a scattered shower or thunderstorm as temps stay mild.

Thursday looks very warm as we get set for a pattern changing storm. This is one heck of a temperature change…

GFS GIf

That clash of the seasons will lead to a potent storm system with strong/severe storms ahead of it, and cold air and snowflakes behind it…

GFS

We will need to keep a close eye on the severe threat for Friday.

Spring and winter will then start to fight it out again with intrusions of cold bumping up against bubbles of spring air. The end result will be a very active storm track across our region. You can see that on the GFS Ensembles precipitation map…

GFS Rain

Moisture is aimed from the western Gulf right into the bluegrass state.

Have a great evening and take care.