Good Thursday to one and all. We are slowly pulling ourselves out of this frigid air mass we’ve been in for the past week. Much milder air is ready to surge back in and this will bring about another very active weather pattern for the next few weeks, at least.
Sunny skies will be with us today as highs reach the 40s for most, with a few low 50s in the west. Overall, this is pretty darn good.
Friday will find showers quickly increasing across the state…
Temps will climb toward the low 50s by late afternoon and evening, just ahead of the front. There isn’t much cold air coming behind this boundary, but it can set up a nice temp gradient with 40 in the north and mid 50s south and west.
Sunday’s weather looks great with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s as winds become gusty from the southwest. Monday should be even warmer with 60s for everyone and 70s across the west.
That’s ahead of a cold front bringing a line of showers and storms to town Monday night and Tuesday.
The overall pattern is turning warmer and very active. We are seeing a setup with “bowling ball” upper lows moving from west to east across the country…
That is how you can get some decent severe weather outbreaks from the plains into our neck of the woods. This potential shows up on the 2 week GFS Ensembles rainfall outlook..
Have a great day and take care.
Looks like the westerly are going to shear any storm development. This is good, no severe weather. the bad side of this is that we need rain.
Huh???? Were not hurting for rain at all. A active pattern will be developing by next week which could lead to severe weather. What rock you living under?
I don’t know where Schroeder is located, but the US Drought Monitor anyway shows almost all of Kentucky is fine for now, although to be sure much of Tennessee, Missouri, Arkansas and southern Illinois are becoming dry. Areas near Chattanooga are in a more serious drought, largely a leftover from last year.
Also, it’s as if Schroeder is conflating severe t-storm development with that of tropical systems. Severe t-storms with large hail and destructive straight-line winds can very much be fueled by strong winds aloft. Stronger tornadic thunderstorms in particular need good upper level winds with a combination of directional shear and speed shear (among with good lift, high dew points, instability, etc).
On the other hand, tropical systems like hurricanes need light winds aloft to strengthen……among other ingredients.
Not to mention Chris Bailey contradicts Schroeder on the potential for severe wx. Think I will go with CB just about every time 😉 .
16 degrees in Lexington this morning. No where close to a record low (8 is the record), but still the coldest since February 4th. Let’s hope this is the last of the teens for this season.
Bring on the warm, bring on the storms…Just Bring it
Ready for some warm weather!!!
NOAA brought out their Spring Outlook for Temps, Flood, and Precip. today. What is your thoughts on this Chris and anyone else that wants to chime in? Says we are in for warmer than average temps with Equal Chances for higher or lower than average Precip.